• Jamaica’s recent trade mission to Guyana was a success, with several contracts established, especially in construction and technology, to supply Guyana with building materials and technological support. The construction supplies, which are soon to be exported, will aid in the development of roads, hospitals, schools and lower- to upper-income housing solutions. Additionally, local ICT companies will lend support to Guyanese financial institutions to improve their customer experience.
• Minister of Industry, Investment and Commerce, Senator Aubyn Hill, who led the six-day mission, from January 23 to 28, provided details during a JIS Think Tank. A total of 73 delegates across 42 local companies went on the business trip, which also facilitated the strengthening of previously established partnerships with Guyanese businesses, coming out of the first trade mission to the country in October 2022.
• Senator Hill highlighted that the HEART/NSTA Trust, which was a part of the delegation “was a super hit”. He said that the Guyanese Minister of Labour, Hon. Joseph Hamilton instructed members of his team to work with the institution to establish a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to offer training in all areas of business in the country.
• Guyana has the fastest-growing economy in the region with IMF projecting GDP growth in 2023 of around 25.2%. Securing partnerships in Guyana will enable businesses locally to secure trade opportunities, ultimately bolstering their bottom lines and aiding the growth of the local economy.

(Source: JIS)

• Peru's economy and inflation have likely been hit by the ongoing social upheaval that has rocked the Andean nation since December, early indications suggest, the head of the central bank's economic studies unit, Adrian Armas, said on Friday, February 10.
• Protests over the removal and arrest of former President Pedro Castillo in December have snarled Peru, with clashes between demonstrators and security forces leaving dozens dead. It is the worst violence in Peru in two decades and threatens to destabilize one of the region's most reliable economies.
• The protests' final impact would depend on how long they continued, he said; but warned that if they persisted, it would be "very difficult" for companies to recoup their losses this year.
• Armas' comments come a day after the central bank maintained its benchmark interest rate at 7.75%, making it the first time since the second half of 2021 that the bank did not hike its rate. Inflation surged well ahead of the bank's target range (1%-3%) to 8.66% in January, near the quarter-century high it reached last year.
• The institution said its decision to maintain the interest rate does not necessarily imply “the end of the cycle of increases” but rather that future adjustments in the reference rate will depend on new inflation data and its determinants, including the macroeconomic effects of recent social events.
• Nevertheless, the bank forecasts that inflation will reach 4.62% in early 2024, above the previous forecast of 4.3%.

(Source: Reuters)

• Brazil's central bank is not looking to change inflation targets, Governor Roberto Campos Neto said on Monday, resisting calls from President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva to raise targets.
• Campos Neto said that he would oppose any change to the targets, warning that Brazil was currently facing a higher risk premium in financial markets, partly as a result of the debate over whether to set higher inflation targets.
• "Our opinion today is that there is no gain in credibility simply by raising the target," Campos Neto said in a high-profile televised interview on TV Cultura's Roda Viva.
• He said the bank had studied ways to improve its inflation-targeting regime, but that did not extend to studying changing targets.
• "We do not consider the target to be an instrument of monetary policy," Campos Neto said.
• Lula has described the height of the official benchmark interest rate, which the central bank left unchanged at a six-year high of 13.75% earlier this month, as an obstacle to economic growth.

(Source: Reuters)

• Washington and Beijing traded accusations about alleged spy balloons on Monday as the United States and Canada scrambled to explain the three other objects the U.S. military shot down over North American airspace during the weekend.
• China widened its dispute with the United States on Monday, claiming that U.S. high-altitude balloons had flown over its airspace without permission more than 10 times since the beginning of 2022. The White House promptly denied it. "This is the latest example of China scrambling to do damage control," White House National Security Council spokeswoman Adrienne Watson said in a statement.
• The new claim came as American and Canadian officials struggled to explain the origin of three additional objects U.S. fighter jets downed over North American airspace since Feb. 4, when a Chinese balloon was downed off the South Carolina coast after drifting across the United States.
• U.S. military fighter jets on Sunday downed an octagonal object over Lake Huron, the Pentagon said. On Friday, an object was shot down over sea ice near Deadhorse, Alaska, and a third object, cylindrical in shape, was destroyed over Canada's Yukon on Saturday.
• In Canada's Yukon province, the search for debris continued Monday, two days after the object discovered in Canadian airspace was shot down, Canadian Defense Minister Anita Anand said in an interview with CNN. "We are still in the process of locating the debris and we will move to locate it and analyze it," she said.

(Source: Reuters)

• Russia plans to sell more than 80% of its oil exports to what it calls "friendly" countries in 2023, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Monday, referring to countries that have not sanctioned Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine.
• He added that these countries would also receive 75% of Russia's refined oil products and that Moscow continued to look for new markets.
• Russia has stepped up discounted sales to China and India, in particular, since it was hit by Western sanctions and a G7 price cap designed to limit its ability to finance the war in Ukraine from oil revenues.
• Novak also warned of uncertainty on global oil markets, saying Western countries from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) group, which includes the United States, Canada, and Norway, could release their strategic oil reserves.

(Source: Reuters)

• Wisynco Group Limited recorded a net profit of $1.21Bn for the second quarter ending December 31, 2022, which represents a 4.6% year-over-year (yoy) increase in profitability. Additionally, the company’s bottom line for the six months increased by 18.0% to $2.51Bn when compared to the corresponding period in 2021.
• Revenues for the quarter increased by 27.7% yoy to $12.13Bn, representing the highest recorded in any quarter due to increased demand in all segments, despite having production challenges. Consequently, gross profit of $4.21Bn was 27.6% greater than the $3.30Bn of the corresponding quarter of 2021. However, the company’s gross margin of 34.7% was lower than expectations due, in part, to lower than budgeted production levels and sub-optimum mix of products manufactured resulting in a cost of sales higher than planned. The six-month reported revenue was $24.07Bn representing a 28.7% jump, when compared to the six months ending December 2021.
• For the six-month ended December 2022, SD&A expenses were up 31.0% and ended the review period at $4.44Bn. This was largely due to incremental marketing and promotional costs above the plan as well as inflationary increases in variable expenses associated with increased revenues.
• Wisynco’s stock price has declined by 0.11% since the start of the calendar year. The stock closed Thursday’s trading session at $17.65 and currently trades at a P/E of 15.0x, above the Main Market Distribution & Manufacturing Sector Average of 14.5x.
• Wisynco has major expansion plans with new equipment to arrive later this year and new buildings being constructed to boost its production capacity. This will allow the company to introduce new brands and innovate further. This represents the largest capital expansion undertaken by the company and represents a major growth driver for the company’s revenues once commissioned into service.

(Sources: JSE and NCBCM Research)

• A recent official staff mission from the IMF to the island led to a report suggesting that the economic outlook of St. Kitts and Nevis is positive. However, there is room for improvement in enhancing the labour market, encouraging economic diversification, and strengthening the financial system.
• To maintain the social assistance programs that the government offers, the IMF expressed that the government needs to increase its revenues.
• According to the IMF, external factors such as civil unrest, inflation, interest rate hikes, and other health crises could still affect growth projected at 4.5% for 2023. Additionally, despite receiving record-high CBI (Citizenship-by-Investment) revenues, the government incurred the most significant primary deficit in two decades (-2.4% of GDP).
• The IMF noted that dependence on CBI revenue is a significant source of vulnerability; thus, the report suggested that a holistic overhaul of the taxation framework would be needed to reduce dependency on CBI.
• Reforming the property tax to support the housing market and home ownership and reintroducing personal income tax could strengthen fiscal sustainability, improve fairness and equity, and achieve inclusive growth.

(Source: CariCris)

• Trade between the US and China hit a record high last year even as their diplomatic relations deteriorated. Imports and exports between the two countries totalled $690.6Bn (£572.6Bn) in 2022. The world's two biggest economies have been in a trade war since 2018 and relations between the countries have hit new lows in recent days after a Chinese balloon travelled across the US.
• The new figures show that US imports from China increased to $536.8Bn last year as American shoppers spent more on Chinese-made goods, including toys and mobile phones. In the same period, US exports to China increased to $153.8Bn. While some of the increase in trade between the two countries is a result of the rising cost of living, the figures also point to how reliant the US and China still are on each other even after years of the trade conflict between them.
• "I think it's an important indication of the difficulties of actually decoupling," Deborah Elms, the founder of the Asian Trade Centre, told the BBC. "Even if governments, firms, and consumers wanted to separate, the economics make it difficult to deliver products in a decoupled world at a price that firms and consumers are willing to pay," she added.

(Source: BBC)

• Oil rose for a third straight day on Wednesday as investors felt more comfortable with risk a day after remarks from the Federal Reserve chairman eased their worries about future interest rate hikes. Comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday were seen as less hawkish than feared, boosting risk appetite and weighing on the dollar. A weaker U.S. currency makes dollar-denominated oil cheaper for buyers holding other currencies.
• "It would appear traders had become a little more defensive on the expectation of a hawkish shift, but Powell refrained from taking the leap," said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at brokerage OANDA.
• Investors hope less aggressive U.S. interest rate increases will help the world's biggest economy dodge a sharp economic slowdown or recession that would hit oil demand. Meanwhile, China's ending of COVID-19 curbs is also expected to support demand for fuel. "A looming oil demand surge together with lacklustre global supply growth will ensure that the oil balance tightens over the coming months," said Stephen Brennock of oil broker PVM.
• Brent crude rose 82 cents, or 1%, to $84.51 a barrel by 11:07 a.m. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 93 cents, or 1.2%, to $78.08. Crude inventories rose by 2.4 million barrels in the week ended Feb 3 to 455.1 million barrels, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 2.5 million-barrel rise.

(Source: Reuters)

• For the period January to September 2022, Jamaica’s total spending on imports were valued at US$5,829Mn, and earnings from exports at US$1,272.5Mn, reflecting YoY increases of 37.1% and 10.2% respectively.
• The increased expenditure on imports was largely attributable to higher imports of “Fuels and Lubricants”, “Raw Materials/Intermediate Goods” and “Consumer Goods” which rose by 75.9%, 30.4%, and 27.3%, respectively. Decades-high inflation impacting goods and services on the world market is a key reason for higher costs of imports.
• The increase in the revenues earned from export was due primarily to an 84.2% increase in the value of exports of “Mineral fuels”. The growth in total exports was influenced by a 137.9% increase in re-exports. However, domestic exports declined by 5.2%, mainly due to the 55.9% fall in exports from the Mining and Quarrying industry due to lower exports of Alumina. This is mainly due to the reduced production capacity (50%) at one on Jamaica’s major plants, Jamalco. The plant is expected to be back at full production capacity by September 2023.
• The five main import partners for January to September 2022 were the United States of America (USA), Trinidad and Tobago, China, Brazil and Japan. Imports from these countries increased by 47.0% to US$3,841.6Mn. This was due largely to the higher imports of fuel from the USA and Trinidad and Tobago.
• The top five destinations for Jamaica’s exports were the USA, Puerto Rico, the Russian Federation, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Exports to these countries increased by 32.7% to US$978.2 million when compared to the corresponding period in 2021. This increase was attributed to higher exports of fuel to the USA.

(Source: STATIN)