Policy Uncertainty To Weigh On Mexican Investment, Growth

Fitch has lowered its forecast for Mexico’s real GDP growth in 2019 to 2.1%, from 2.7% previously. Fitch expects economic growth in Mexico to slow over the coming quarters, as investors sour on President-elect Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO). Investment is expected to remain weak in 2019, as uncertainty around policy formation under AMLO outweighs more clarity in US trade relations following an agreement on NAFTA 2.0. The service sector will remain the key engine of growth, but the pace will slow as weaker investment ways on payrolls and inflation remains elevated.