Fractured Opposition To Boost Ruling Party Ahead Of Honduran Elections

• Disunity among Honduras’ opposition parties and a lack of a second round of voting increases the likelihood that the ruling Partido Nacional (PN)’s candidate, Nasry Asfura, wins the November 2021 presidential elections.
• However, Fitch Solutions notes that persistent links between Asfura and President Juan Orlando Hernández and criminal activities will place a ceiling on support for the PN, potentially limiting the ruling party’s policymaking ability. 
• A recent electoral reform will assuage some concerns about the legitimacy of the vote, though Honduras’ recent electoral history underscores significant risks of a disputed outcome and political unrest.

(Source: Fitch Solutions)