Emerging Markets: IMF's Latest Forecasts Look Too Rosy

• Fitch Solutions, believes that the IMF’s latest economic forecasts present an overly optimistic look at EMs’ economic recovery in 2021. Instead, it expects that growth in key EMs including Chile, Turkey, Vietnam and Malaysia will fall far below the Fund’s expectations. 
• The IMF’s forecasts for 2022 are closer to Fitch’s, though, Fitch is a bit more optimistic about Chile and Vietnam and more pessimistic about Indonesia and Hungary. 
• Both Fitch and the IMF are of the view that EM inflation will ease in 2022 and over the coming years.

(Source: Fitch Solutions)