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Moody's says potential merger between Marfrig and BRF is credit positive Published: 07 June 2019

  • Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") comments that the potential merger between BRF S.A. (Ba2 negative) and Marfrig Global Foods S.A. (B2 Stable) is credit positive because it will result in a company with larger scale, product, and geographic diversification.
  • However, the merger will provide limited operational synergies given the different strategies and segments the companies operate.

(Source: Moody’s)

St. Kitts and Nevis Projects a Decline In Revenue for 2019 Published: 07 June 2019

  • The government of St Kitts and Nevis is projecting a 29% drop in revenue in 2019, according to the Caribbean Development Bank (CDB).
  • In its outlook for St Kitts and Nevis for 2019, the CDB also stated that the government is targeting a lower primary surplus, with total revenue expected to decline by 8.1% and total expenditure likely to grow by 5.7%.
  • The decline in revenue will be caused by a projected 29.1% contraction in non-tax revenue from mainly the Citizenship by Investment (CBI) receipts. While capital expenditure is expected to grow by 21.8%, with one-third of the funds being earmarked for improving the public infrastructure.
  • Kitts primary surplus is projected to fall to 2.1% of Gross Domestic Product in 2019.

 (Source: Caribbean News Now)

Public sector employment declined by 11.1% - Guyana Published: 07 June 2019

  • Employment in the public sector declined by 11.1% in 2018 due to lower recruitment in the core civil services.
  • “There was lower recruitment in the core civil services by 0.5%, which represented 63.1% of total public sector employment,” recounted the Bank of Guyana in its 2018 annual report.
  • In the rest of the public sector, employment fell by 29.4%. Employment in public corporations contracted on account of lower recruitment by the Guyana Sugar Corporation (GuySuCo) and financial institutions by 39.2% and 0.6% respectively.
  • Despite the decline in employment, employment costs increased by G$5 million, moving to G$59.4Mn. This reflected developments in wages, salaries, and benefits of public servants.

(Source: Guyana Chronicle)

In Pence negotiations Published: 07 June 2019

  • Talks between the U.S. and Mexico are set to continue into a third day in a bid to reach an agreement that would stop the imposition of 5% tariffs on American imports from its southern neighbor on Monday.
  • Mexican Foreign Minister Marcelo Ebrard confirmed that his government has offered to send about 6,000 national guard troops to Mexico’s southern border with Guatemala to help stem migration, while Vice President Mike Pence said it is still the U.S. plan to go ahead with the tariffs.
  • He said he would talk to President Donald Trump over the weekend to update him on developments ahead of the deadline.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Tremendous room Published: 07 June 2019

  • People’s Bank of China Governor Yi Gang said his country has “tremendous” monetary and fiscal policy space to make adjustments to the economy should the trade war worsen.
  • He also said that his meeting this weekend with U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin would probably be a “productive talk, as always.”
  • China’s markets are closed for a holiday today, but the offshore yuan fell the most in three weeks to trade at the weakest level since November, in the wake of the governor’s comments.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Lasco Financial Services Report Slight Improvement in Year-End Results Published: 05 June 2019

  • Lasco Financial Services recorded audited net profit for the year ended March 31, 2019, of $281.76Mn (EPS: 22.28¢) relative to the $254.28Mn (EPS: 19.95¢) representing a 10.8% growth for the year.
  • The improvement in the bottom line can be partly attributed to increased income (+36.9%), growth in other operating income (+28.3%) which when combined, contributed to 36.5%.overall growth in revenues.
  • The stock has risen 5.6% since the start of the calendar year. LASM closed trading yesterday at $4.75, and currently trades at a P/E of 21.95x earnings which is below the Junior Market Financial sector average of 25.56.

 (Source: Lasco Financial Services Financials)

Central Bank projects 4.4% growth Published: 05 June 2019

  • The Bank of Guyana (BoG) has projected that the local economy will grow by 4.4 percent this year, due to growth in the major economic sectors.
  • Growth will be driven by the agricultural, mining and quarrying, services and construction and manufacturing sectors. 
  • Guyana’s economic growth rate was stronger at 4.1 percent for 2018 when compared to the 2.1 percent growth in 2017. This outturn was on account of higher production of bauxite, livestock, forestry, and other crops as well as increases in construction, manufacturing and service activities.
  • Despite the many positive growth, the inflation rate is forecasted at 2.5% because of moderate increases in food and fuel prices. The BoG’s Financial Stability Committee is, however continuously assessing a number of risk indicators pertinent to the financial and economic systems.

Berger Paint Ceases Operations in Trinidad Published: 05 June 2019

  • BERGER Paints Trinidad (BPTL) has ceased operations in TT. Berger Paints Limited (BPTL) and its recognized majority trade union, the National Union of Government and Federated Workers Union, signed a memorandum of agreement on May 31 on the cessation of operations of BTPL.
  • Ansa McAl said while BPTL will stop its manufacturing operations in TT, product availability in the market will not be affected and that the paint business will now be distributed by Ansa Coatings Ltd.
  • It was reported that BPTL has been in a loss-making position for several years and that the decision will put the paint business in a better position to build efficiencies and becomes more competitive in the local and export markets.

 (Trinidad & Tobago News Day)

Trump Says ' No Bluff!' on the Mexico Tariffs His Own Party Hates Published: 05 June 2019

  • President Donald Trump warned on Twitter that he’s not “bluffing” in his threat to impose 5% tariffs on goods from Mexico, even as opposition to the move grows among Republican lawmakers.
  • Later today, Mexican Foreign Minister Marcelo Ebrard is meeting officials at the White House in an attempt to find a way to appease the president.
  • Markets are betting that some progress can be made, and the Mexican peso was the world’s best-performing major currency yesterday.
  • Trump will not attend the meeting as he’s visiting a golf course in Ireland.

(Source: Bloomberg)

First FedEx, Now Ford. China Clamps Down on U.S. Companies Published: 05 June 2019

  • China fined Ford Motor Co.’s main joint venture in the country for antitrust violations, marking the latest action toward a U.S. company as tensions between the two nations escalate.
  • The announcement comes just days after China said that it’s investigating FedEx Corp. for “wrongful” deliveries, a move framed by the state news agency as a warning by Beijing after the Trump administration declared a ban on business with telecommunications giant Huawei Technologies Co.
  • China has also threatened to blacklist foreign firms that damage domestic companies’ interests and on Tuesday warned its citizens against travel to the U.S.
  • Though China didn’t spell out any links between the fine and the U.S. tensions, "it’s hard to see it as not related," said Andrew Polk, co-founder of research firm Trivium China in Beijing. "At this stage, I think our baseline assumption should be that there are no coincidences."

(Source: Bloomberg)