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Brazil Aims To Raise $2Bn In ESG Sovereign Bonds In September –Official Published: 25 August 2023

  • Brazil has announced plans to release approximately $2 billion in its first sustainable sovereign bonds this September, a significant move towards eco-friendly financing.
  • Dario Durigan, the executive secretary of the Finance Ministry, stated, "In the upcoming month, the world will be closely observing and acquiring our sustainable bonds." He made this remark during a session of the country's Climate Fund committee, highlighting that these bonds will be backed by green and social projects.
  • "The expectation that we have in the Nation Treasury is that we issue something around $2Bn. It is a very relevant amount, it will be able to serve as a financing base for the ecological transition plan."
  • Durigan said that during a meeting later on Thursday of the National Monetary Council (CMN) - Brazil's top economic body comprising the finance minister, planning minister and central bank governor - the government will greenlight the issuance of the country's first sustainable sovereign bonds and will define a new framework that will govern Climate Fund operations.
  • In an interview with Reuters last week, Rafael Dubeux, who is coordinating efforts in the Finance Ministry's "ecological transformation" plan, disclosed that the initial allocation of Brazil's inaugural sustainable sovereign bonds will primarily benefit the Climate Fund under the oversight of the state development bank BNDES, aiming to finance actions to reduce emissions effectively.
  • The bonds are part of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's efforts to improve Brazil's record on the environment in a broad green plan that includes the establishment of a regulated carbon credit market.
  • Brazil's ambitious step towards sustainable bonds underscores its commitment to environmental preservation and ecological transition. By tying financial mechanisms with green initiatives, Brazil not only sets a precedent for emerging economies but also reaffirms its dedication to global environmental objectives.

(Source: Reuters)

 

What Is A BRICS Currency and Is the U.S. Dollar In Trouble?   Published: 25 August 2023

  • Brazil's President called on Wednesday for the BRICS nations to create a common currency for trade and investment, to reduce their vulnerability to dollar exchange rate fluctuations.
  • Brazil's president does not believe nations that do not use the dollar should be forced to trade in the currency, and he has also advocated for a common currency in the Mercosur bloc of South American countries. A BRICS currency "increases our payment options and reduces our vulnerabilities," he told the summit's opening plenary session.
  • Building a BRICS currency would be a "political project", South African central bank governor Lesetja Kganyago told a radio station in July. "If you want it, you'll have to get a banking union, you'll have to get a fiscal union, you've got to get macroeconomic convergence," Kganyago said. "Importantly, you need a disciplining mechanism for the countries that fall out of line with it; plus they will need a common central bank, where does it get located?"
  • BRICS leaders have said they want to use their national currencies more instead of the dollar, which strengthened sharply last year as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and Russia invaded Ukraine, making dollar debt and many imports more expensive.
  • The greenback's share of official FX reserves fell to a 20-year low of 58% in the final quarter of 2022, and 47% when adjusted for exchange rate changes, according to International Monetary Fund data.
  • However, the dollar still dominates global trade. It is on one side of almost 90% of global forex transactions, according to Bank of International Settlements Data. De-dollarising would need countless exporters and importers, as well as borrowers, lenders and currency traders across the world, to independently decide to use other currencies.

(Source: Reuters)

 

US Stocks May Not Be Ready For Hawkish Powell At Jackson Hole, Options Data Show   Published: 25 August 2023

  • Investors may be underestimating the degree of potential market turbulence stemming from the Federal Reserve's economic symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, potentially leaving them more vulnerable to a hawkish surprise, options strategists said.
  • Some strategists believe that the outlook may not be cautious enough, especially if last year is any guide.
  • A more hawkish-than-expected message from Powell at Jackson Hole last August sank the S&P 500 by 3.4% on the day of his address - the biggest reaction to a Fed chair’s speech at the annual symposium in at least 11 years, a Reuters analysis showed. At that time, options markets were primed for a move of around 1.4%.
  • With many investors sitting on big year-to-date gains in stocks and bond yields pushing higher, investors may be caught flat-footed if a hawkish Powell spurs a run out of risky assets, Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, said. Markets "have shaken off some of the outright complacency that existed about a month or two ago but (they) are hardly risk averse," he added.
  • Though the Fed has made significant progress in cooling consumer prices, the pressure may be on Powell to reinforce his "higher for longer" mantra on rates to avoid giving the impression that the battle against inflation was already won, BofA's analysts wrote.

(Source: Reuters)

Year-To-Date Net Profit Plummets at Spur Tree Spices   Published: 24 August 2023

  • SpurTree recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of $3.04Mn for the quarter that ended June 30, 2023. This represents a 92.1% yoy decrease in profitability. Similarly, net profit for the six months ending June 2023 decreased by 51.2% to record a profit of $43.56Mn
  • Revenue for the quarter was up by 37.9% yoy to $278.22Mn, while revenues for the six months increased by 50.8% yoy to $661.90Mn. While there was a commendable performance in traditional sectors such as seasonings and sauces, revenue for the period was negatively impacted across the group by low availability and consequent low production of ackee for sale during the quarter.
  • Cost of sales saw an increase of 63.7% and 69.9% over the three-month and six-month periods respectively. This subsequently resulted in a fall in gross margin to 25.0% (from 36.8%) in Q2 and 29.3% (from 37.2%) for the first half of the year.
  • Admin and other expenses for the quarter increased by 92.8% over the same period in 2022 as well as 84.8% yoy over the six months. This increase is attributed to increased salary costs arising from the addition of talent in critical areas, depreciation expenses, promotional activities in the US market to reintroduce the brand and products directly to customers post-COVID, and legal and professional fees.
  • SpurTree’s stock price has decreased by 34.8% since the start of the calendar year. The stock closed Wednesday’s trading session at $2.10 and currently trades at a P/E of 35.0x which is above the Junior Market Manufacturing Sector Average of 17.3x.
  • The company has highlighted that Exotic Products (a manufacturing partner to the company) is nearing completion of a second production line, enhancing its capacity to yield substantial ackee quantities during each crop. The factory will also introduce new lines of canned products, packed for Spur Tree Spices that are expected to drive growth for the company.

(Source: JSE)

BOJ Says Introduction Of Digital Currency Behind Schedule   Published: 24 August 2023

  • The Bank of Jamaica has admitted that the Central Bank’s digital currency, JAMDEX, is behind its projected target.
  • BOJ’s Governor Richard Byles conceded that "we are not where we wanted to be." He explained that this is due to several issues, including the slow transition of the existing technology to accept JAMDEX, specifically the point of sale machines, which need to be adjusted to take a JAMDEX QR code, and that is an avenue that is being worked on.
  • He further highlighted that other payment technologies are seeing increased use.
  • Byles explained that smaller merchants, in particular, who do not rely on POS machines have been recruited to take JAMDEX.
  • Currently, there are over two hundred thousand individuals, who have the capacity on their phone to pay for their services and goods with JAMDEX and once that happens, it means that every supermarket, every fast food enterprise; and all kinds of merchants will be able to take JAMDEX.

(Source: RJR)

Colombian Banks Call For Measures To Help Liquidity Squeeze Published: 24 August 2023

  • Colombia's banks have called on the country's central bank to tackle liquidity issues amid lower-than-expected government spending and compliance with the international regulatory framework Basel III, which strengthens bank risk management.
  • Colombian banking association Asobancaria suggested the central bank cut the reserves that financial institutions are required to hold, buy dollars at the spot market rate and allow foreign entities to purchase fixed-term certificates of deposit (CDTs).
  • Analysts attribute the financial system's decrease in liquidity to the government's slower budgetary spending and higher tax collection. The funds are stored in the central bank and have not flowed into the economy.
  • So far this year, the government has spent 47% of its planned budget, according to the finance ministry. However, some lawmakers warn some ministries have spent just 20%.
  • Furthermore, banks are required to retain a certain level of reserves under Basel III, adding to the liquidity strain. "It's necessary to adopt a series of measures to guarantee liquidity in accordance with the needs of the economy," Asobancaria said in a report published on Tuesday.

(Source: Reuters)

 

World Bank Report Proposes Reforms Needed In The Dominican Republic Published: 24 August 2023

  • A World Bank study has highlighted that the Dominican Republic must increase its productivity by implementing reforms to strengthen human capital, competitiveness, innovation, efficiency in public spending, and resilience to climate events.
  • In recent years the country has experienced low productivity growth, as pending structural reforms have not been implemented and this has contributed to the stagnation of real wages.
  • The report, “Rethinking Productivity to Boost Growth Leaving No One Behind, DR Economic Memorandum,” highlights that economic growth in the DR averaged 5.8% per year between 2005 and 2019, more than double the average for Latin America and the Caribbean.
  • However, the drivers of this exceptional growth are reaching their limit due to low productivity growth in recent years, hampered by insufficient human capital to meet the needs of the business sector, the occurrence of climate change-related disasters, and distortions in key markets, including the inefficient allocation of tax exemptions.
  • “The model that has generated so many social and economic benefits for the country can be revitalized to become more dynamic, inclusive and sustainable, which will allow for the continued reduction in income gaps, especially for women, and that promotes better jobs and more opportunities for more households and regions in the country,” said Alexandra Valerio, resident representative of the World Bank.
  • The structural reforms proposed in the report are: Strengthening human capital; first, adapting the education system to the needs of the market, through the modernization of secondary studies, and continuing education for adults. Second, reducing inequality of opportunities between genders and between rural and urban areas.
  • For the Promotion of competition: reducing barriers to entry and expansion of companies in key economic sectors, revision of sectoral protection provisions for established companies, production and export quotas, and price controls, among others.
  • To incentivize innovation: technological extension services, improvement of management capabilities, development of basic infrastructure for innovation, and implementation of subsidies for small and medium-sized enterprises that have not benefited from tax incentives.
  • Another reform is improvements in the efficiency of public spending and the tax system, among which the elimination of tax exemptions and the broadening of the tax base continue to be priorities. Further, increasing resilience to external shocks and weather events by developing fiscal risk strategies was another suggestion.

(Source: Dominican Today

US Economy Near Stalling Point As Consumer Demand Weakens, Survey Says   Published: 24 August 2023

  • U.S. business activity approached the stagnation point in August, with growth at its weakest since February as demand for new business in the vast service sector contracted.
  • S&P Global said its flash U.S. Composite PMI index, which tracks manufacturing and service sectors, fell to a reading of 50.4 in August from 52 in July, the biggest drop since November 2022. While August's reading was the seventh straight month of growth, it was only fractionally above the 50 level separating expansion and contraction as demand weakened for both manufactured goods and services.
  • For months, a strong labour market and resilient consumer spending have increasingly assuaged fears of recession and led to upward revisions of GDP growth forecasts. However, Wednesday's data painted a more tepid picture of the economy.
  • Service sector business activity growth was the slowest since February at 51.0 in August, and the Manufacturing PMI fell deeper into contraction territory at 47.0 down from 49.0 in July, the fourth straight month of contraction.
  • Consumer demand posed a substantial drag on revenue for firms, as new business and orders contracted for firms across all sectors. New business in the service sector declined for the first time in six months, falling to 49.2 from 51.0 the month prior.
  • Both manufacturing and service sector businesses tamed price hikes to attract more customers and slowed headcount growth to compensate for resurgent input costs.

(Source: Reuters)

UK Economy Shows Signs Of Slowdown As BoE Rate Hikes Mount Published: 24 August 2023

  • Britain's economy is slowing and might be heading for a recession as it feels the impact of 14 back-to-back interest rate increases by the Bank of England to fight high inflation.
  • Despite being buffeted by Brexit, the COVID-19 pandemic and last year's surge in energy prices, the British economy has defied forecasts of contraction so far this year, but signs of a slowdown are mounting, highlighting the BoE's dilemma as it continues to grapple with inflation.
  • A survey published on Wednesday showed activity among businesses shrank by the most since January 2021, when Britain was still in a coronavirus lockdown.
  • The housing market is weakening and the jobless rate is up, but the BoE looks set to keep on raising rates with inflation still more than three times its 2% target. Core inflation in July held close to its highest in more than 30 years.
  • Most worrying for Governor Andrew Bailey and his colleagues, pay growth is at its fastest since at least 2001, raising the risk of persistently high inflation.

(Source: Reuters)

 

Jamaica Records Estimated 2.9% Six-Month Calendar Year Growth   Published: 23 August 2023

  • Jamaica is estimated to have recorded gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 2.9% for the first six months of 2023. Director General, of the Planning Institute of Jamaica (PIOJ), Dr. Wayne Henry, made the disclosure during the agency’s digital press conference on Thursday (August 17).
  • He informed that the Services Industry grew by 3.5%, while the Goods Producing Industry expanded by 1%. The industries that were estimated to have recorded the largest increases during the first half of the year were Mining and Quarrying, up 137.7%; Hotels and Restaurants, up 18.5%; Other Services, up 11.4%; and Transport, Storage and Communication, up 6.1%.
  • He noted that the short-term prospects for the overall economy are positive, based on expected improved performances in the abovementioned industries and informed that there is also anticipated strengthening in business confidence, which is based on firms’ perception that business conditions will improve. This, he outlined is expected to drive demand.
  • The short-term prospects are also based on the continued recovery of the global economy, which augurs well for external demand. This is supported by recent projections from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) indicating a strengthening in global growth for 2023.
  • However, this positive outlook could be significantly impacted by adverse weather conditions, including drought and heavy rainfall; plant downtime, due to relatively aged equipment in major industries, particularly in the manufacturing industry; and slower than expected growth in the economies of Jamaica’s main trading partners.

(Source: JIS News)