• While aggregate Developing Market (DM) growth in 2022 will still be greater than the pre-pandemic average, the growth forecast has deteriorated further in the face of persistently high inflation, poor consumer confidence, and increasingly hawkish central banks.
• DMs are expected to expand by 2.4% in 2022, which is lower than the 2.6% growth rate predicted in July but still higher than the 2015-2019 average of 2.1%. Of note, lower aggregate DM growth is mostly due to lower projected growth in the United States (down from 2.4% to 1.8%) and Germany (1.7% to 1.5%), and DM’s dependence on these countries for exports and imports.
• Some economies will grow slower than their pre-Covid five-year average in 2022, either because they are more vulnerable to conflict-related headwinds, such as eastern European countries, or because they are more impacted by lower growth in Mainland China.
• In addition, persistently high inflation is dampening consumer confidence due to its impact on purchasing power, with negative implications for consumer spending and thus headline growth in the months ahead. 
• After rising through to mid-June, DM government bond yields have since eased as investors have started to price in lower inflation in the medium term, amid more hawkish central banks and rapidly mounting growth concerns.

(Source: Fitch Solutions)

• India could scrap a 40% duty on wheat imports and cap the amount of stocks traders can hold to try to dampen record high domestic prices in the world's second-biggest producer, government and trade officials told Reuters on Monday, August 8, 2022.
• Late in the day, the trade ministry said it would restrict the export of some wheat-derived products like finely milled "maida" and semolina from Aug. 14, with only an inter-ministerial committee allowed to clear their shipment. Exports of the items are generally small.
• India barred wheat exports in May after the crop suffered a heatwave, but domestic prices still rose to a record high, and yet still, international prices are way above the domestic market, making it unviable for traders to buy from abroad.
• If the government does remove the duty, and international prices also fall, then traders say they could start importing, especially during the upcoming festival season, when higher demand typically drives domestic prices higher.
• Domestic wheat prices ended last week at a record 24,000 rupees ($301.57) per tonne, having risen 14% from lows struck after the government surprised markets on May 14 by banning exports, ending hopes that India could fill the market gap left by missing Ukraine grain. Domestic prices are still nearly a third lower than global prices, said a Mumbai-based trader with a global trading firm, who described Indian wheat as the cheapest in the world.

(Source: Reuters)

• Germany's economy will lose more than 260 billion euros ($265 billion) in added value by 2030 due to the Ukraine war and high energy prices, spelling negative effects on the labour market, according to a study by the Institute for Employment Research (IAB).
• In comparison with expectations for a peaceful Europe, Germany's price-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) will be 1.7% lower next year and there will be about 240,000 fewer people in employment, said the study published on Tuesday, August 9^th, 2022.
• The employment level is expected to stay at around this level until 2026 when expansive measures will gradually begin to outweigh the negative effects and lead to a plus of about 60,000 gainfully employed in 2030.
• One of the big losers will be the hospitality industry, which was already hit hard by the coronavirus pandemic and is likely to feel the pinch of consumers' waning purchasing power. Energy-intensive sectors, such as the chemical industry and metal production, are also especially likely to be affected.
• It is mentioned that if energy prices, which have so far shot up by 160%, were to double again, Germany's 2023 economic output would be almost 4% lower than it would have been without the war, according to the study. Under these assumptions, 660,000 fewer people would be employed after three years and still 60,000 fewer in 2030.

(Source: Reuters)

• JMMB Holding Company, SRL and its parent JMMB Group Limited have received final regulatory approval for the purchase of 100% of the shares in Banco Múltiple Bell Bank, S.A. in the Dominican Republic as well as to merge said entity with Banco Ahorro y Crédito, JMMB Bank, SA on July 28, 2022.
• This is a significant milestone for the JMMB Group, as this will be their first commercial bank in the Dominican Republic.
• The JMMB DR Group currently includes the brokerage house, JMMB Puesto de Bolsa SA, a fund management company, JMMB Funds, and a pension fund administrator company AFP JMMB BDI, S.A.
• This acquisition and merger complement their regional diversification strategy as the company seeks to more effectively fulfil the financial needs of the local market in the Dominican Republic.
• Along with diversifying the company’s revenue streams, the acquisition is expected to further improve the company’s bottom line which saw a 54.2% increase in the last financial year (March 2022) over its prior period.

(Source: JSE)

• The Jamaica-based creative company, iCreate Limited is seeking to raise some J$425Mn in capital to continue its expansion programme, in particular the acquisition of Visual Vibes.Com Limited, one of the leading video board advertising companies in the country.
• The company requires additional funding to continue to execute its growth strategy through mergers and acquisitions. On May 19, the board of directors of the company passed a resolution, subject to the approval of the shareholders, authorizing raising J$425Mn by way of a Rights Issue, offering to the existing shareholders the opportunity to subscribe for additional ordinary shares in the company.
• Subsequent to this, on July 18, iCreate’s board of directors passed another resolution, subject to the approval of the shareholders, authorising the acceptance of convertible debt financing of J$100 million and US$400,000 to be provided by Astronomical Holdings Limited and Kintyre Holdings Limited, respectively.
• The loans will be converted to ordinary shares at a conversion price as will be the same as the subscription price fixed for the ordinary shares proposed to be made available for subscription according to the Rights Issue.
• The company is convening a hybrid extraordinary general meeting, scheduled to be held on Thursday, August 25, 2022, to vote on its proposed rights issue and approval of convertible debt financing.
• The shareholders are being asked to vote on a resolution to authorize the subscription of new ordinary of up to $212.5Mn ordinary shares (with the option to upsize as the directors in their absolute discretion may approve). The same allotment of $212.5Mn shares will be made available as per the debt financing conversion to equity holding to amount to the full funding requirement of $425Mn.

(Source: JSE)

• According to a Reuters poll, Mexican inflation in July will likely speed up again to a near-22-year high, fueling bets the country's central bank will continue to hike its key interest rate through the rest of the year.
• Notably, Mexico's central bank, which targets inflation at 3% plus or minus one percentage point, has raised its benchmark interest rate by 375 basis points over its last nine monetary policy meetings, to 7.75%.
• With annual core inflation, which strips out some volatile food and energy prices, is forecast to reach 7.60%, also the highest since late 2000, the market is expecting a further 75-basis-point hike at the bank's next rate decision scheduled for Thursday. Analysts are projecting that the total interest rate will hit 9.5% by the end of the year.

(Source: Reuters)

• Barbados will soon be home to a World Food Programme logistics hub which will make it easier for food supplies to be transported to Caribbean countries impacted by natural disasters.
• The programme will set up its hub giving it easy access to the runway, Barbados’ network and the rest of the Caribbean.  The main component of the hub will be a large warehouse that will allow the World Food Programme to pre-position food and other necessary supplies for the aftermath of a disaster.
• The government plans to play a role in the logistics centre to benefit Barbadians and other Caribbean nationalities. Of note, after hurricanes Maria and Irma ravaged neighbouring nations, especially Dominica, it became evident that the program's presence in the region was inadequate.
• The hub can improve access to healthy foods in low-income or underserved areas by making it easier for farmers to offer their products in these areas by assuming costs associated with infrastructure and logistics.
• That said, Barbados stands to benefit as logistics hubs add value by lowering the costs of transportation, storage, and distribution of commodities from producer to consumer, boosting business competitiveness.

 (Source: Barbados Today)

• The United States will provide an additional $4.5 billion to Ukraine's government, bringing its total budgetary support since Russia's February invasion to $8.5 billion, the U.S. Agency for International Development said on Monday, August 8^th, 2022.
• The funding, coordinated with the U.S. Treasury Department through the World Bank, will go to the Ukraine government in tranches, beginning with a $3 billion disbursement in August, USAID, the Agency for International Development, said.
• It follows previous transfers of $1.7 billion in July and $1.3 billion in June, USAID said. Washington has also provided billions of dollars in military and security support. The Pentagon announced a $1 billion arms aid package on Monday, August 8th, 2022. Overall, the United States has contributed more than $18 billion to Ukraine this year.
• The new budgetary funds are to help the Ukrainian government maintain essential functions, including social and financial assistance for the growing poor population, children with disabilities, and millions of internally displaced persons, as the war drags on.
• However, it is important to note that the World Bank estimates that 55% of Ukrainians will be living in poverty by the end of 2023 as a result of the war and the large numbers of displaced persons, compared with 2.5% before the start of the war.

(Source: Reuters)

• A sweeping bill passed by the U.S. Senate on Sunday, August 7^th,2022, is intended to fight climate change, lower drug prices, raise some corporate taxes, bring down inflation over the medium to long term, and cut the deficit, rating agency Moody's Investors Service told Reuters on Monday, August 8th, 2022.
• The Senate on Sunday, August 7th,2022, passed the $430 billion bill, a major victory for President Joe Biden, sending the measure to the House of Representatives for a vote, likely Friday. They are expected to pass it and send it to the White House for Biden's signature.
• The legislation, known as the Inflation Reduction Act, however, will not bring down inflation "this coming year or next year," said Madhavi Bokil, senior vice president at Moody's Investors Service. "We do think that this act will have an impact (of cutting inflation) as it increases productivity," she said, adding her horizon was two to three years.
• However, it was argued by the Republicans, that the bill will not address inflation, and have denounced it as a job-killing, left-wing spending wish list that could undermine growth when the economy is in danger of falling into recession.
• Nonetheless, Bokil mentioned that the spending bill was complementary to another bill recently passed by Congress, which aimed to subsidize the U.S. semiconductor industry and boost efforts to make the United States more competitive with China.

(Source: Reuters)

• Prime Minister, the Most Hon. Andrew Holness, says the opening of the Kingston Logistics Park (KLP) is a significant investment and will bring more economic growth and job creation for the country.
• The Kingston Logistics Park, which incorporates 18,000 square metres of warehouse space, falls under the wider Logistics Hub Initiative (LHI) designed to position the country as a global destination in cargo trans-shipment and logistics services.
• The Park includes a border-protection centre, which houses the Jamaica Customs Agency (JCA) and the Container Security Initiative, which is a collaboration between the JCA and the United States Government.
• The development will see the country using its local and natural resources to build its logistics industry and cement itself as an important logistics node. This will result in the creation of a new industry that will provide higher quality jobs and a new stream of foreign exchange revenues that will make the economy more robust to withstand shocks.

(Source: JIS News)