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Fears for U.S. rebound as the labour market, stimulus talks stall Published: 24 July 2020

  • Concerns that the U.S. economic recovery may be faltering sent a chill through global markets, hitting risk assets and supporting havens.
  • The yield on the U.S. 10-Year Treasury note fell to 0.56%. It has only ever closed below that level once, back in April. Gold futures, however, failed to break through the $1,900 level for the second day in a row.
  • The move was triggered on Thursday by a combination of a rise in weekly initial jobless claims and a fresh delay to the announcement of Republican plans for the next package of stimulus measures. These will now only be published next week, according to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.

(Source: Investing.com)

Strong Revenue Growth Supports Improvement in KREMI’s Bottom Line Published: 21 July 2020

  • For the three months ended May 31, 2020, Caribbean Cream Ltd. (KREMI) reported a 31.2% (or $6.43Mn) increase in net income relative to the corresponding period in 2019. Net Profit rose from $20.62Mn (EPS: 5¢) in 2019 to $27.06Mn (EPS: 7¢) in 2020.
  • This favorable result was largely due to a 2.9% (or $12.31Mn) increase in revenue, a 1.9% (or $2.05Mn) decline in administrative and selling & distribution expenses as well as a 44.4% (or $2.69Mn) fall in finance cost.
  • The stock price has fallen 1.9% since the start of the calendar year and closed Monday’s trading session at $3.54. At this price, the stock currently trades at a P/E of 22.1x earnings, which is above the Junior Market Manufacturing Sector Average of 21.9x.

(Source: KREMI Financials)

AMG Profits up by 5.4% for the Nine-Month Period Published: 21 July 2020

  • For the nine months ended May 2020, net profit at AMG Packaging Paper Company Limited rose 5.4% (or $1.94Mn) up to $37.83Mn (EPS: 7¢).
  • A 13.7% (or $63.14Mn) decline in cost of sales, despite a 9.2% (or $54.11Mn) drop in revenues was the main contributor to the improvement in the company’s bottom line.
  • The company’s stock price has fallen 14.7% since the start of the year, closing Monday’s trading session at $1.80. At this price, the stock currently trades at a P/E of 15.0x earnings, which below the Junior Market Manufacturing Sector Average of 21.9x.

(Source: AMG Financials)

Economic Activity Will Surge In Guyana Despite Global Headwinds, Political Risks Published: 21 July 2020

  • Accelerating oil production and sustained investment will underpin a significant economic expansion in Guyana over the coming quarters, bucking the global headwinds from the Covid-19 pandemic.
  • Fitch Solutions forecasts that the Guyanese economy will grow 24.6% y-o-y in 2020 and 18.5% in 2021, from an estimated 4.7% in 2019.
  • That said, ongoing political uncertainty and the lack of high-frequency economic data present significant risks to our forecast, particularly if the US or other foreign governments authorize sanctions against Guyanese government officials for refusing to leave office after the March 2020 election.

(Source: Fitch Solutions)

Bondholder Groups Reject Ecuador's Restructuring Offer Published: 21 July 2020

  • Three groups of bondholders have responded to a proposed bond swap from Ecuador with two groups rejecting it and one expressing support, according to separate statements on Monday.
  • A group of 25 institutional investors, including Amundi, Contrarian Capital Management, Grantham Mayo Van Otterloo (GMO) and T Rowe Price, dismissed the offer, saying "the terms... do not represent Ecuador's best effort to reach an equitable restructuring with a majority of bondholders or its ability to implement social development goal principles to build a sustainable future."
  • Another group of holders of Ecuador's 2024 notes also refused Ecuador's offer. Together, the two groups hold more than 25% of Ecuador's bonds and more than 35% in certain series.
  • On the other hand, a group of bondholders that includes AllianceBernstein, Ashmore Group, Ayres Management, BlackRock, BlueBay Asset Management and Wellington Management came out in support of Ecuador's plans to restructure $17.4Bn in outstanding bonds. The group, which calls itself the Ad Hoc Group of Ecuador Bondholders, holds more than 53% of Ecuador's sovereign bonds.

(Source: LatinFinance)

UK Government’s Borrowing Hits Record £128Bn In April-June 2020 Published: 21 July 2020

  • British government borrowing surged to a record £127.9Bn in the first three months of the 2020/21 financial year, when COVID-19 lockdown measures were at their tightest, official figures showed on Tuesday.
  • Public sector net borrowing between April and June was £103.9Bn higher than in the same three months last year, and more than double the £55.4Bn borrowed in all of the 2019/20 tax year which ended in March.
  • Public sector net debt, excluding state-owned banks, rose to £1.984Tn, which Britain’s Office for National Statistics said was equivalent to 99.6% of gross domestic product - also a downward revision compared with May.

(Source: Reuters)

EU Leaders Reach $2Tn Deal On Recovery Plan After Marathon Summit Published: 21 July 2020

  • The 27 European Union governments have reached a breakthrough agreement over new fiscal stimulus, following marathon talks in Brussels that lasted four days.
  • The European Commission, the executive arm of the EU, has been tasked with tapping financial markets to raise an unprecedented €750Bn ($857Bn). The funds will be distributed among the countries and sectors most impacted by the coronavirus pandemic, and will take the form of grants and loans.
  • In addition to the recovery fund, the EU said its next budget, which will fund initiatives between 2021 and 2027, will total €1.07Tn. The two combined bring upcoming investments to the level of €1.824Tn. “This recovery fund will help us to almost double the European budget for the years to come,” French President Emmanuel Macron said Tuesday morning.

(Source: CNBC)

Barita Investments Limited (BIL) – Additional Public Offer Published: 17 July 2020

  • Barita announced this week that it received board approval to issue up to 200,000,000 ordinary shares, as part of the authorized capital of the Company to the general public by way of an Additional Public Offer, with the option to upsize by inviting offers for up to an additional 100,000,000 New Ordinary Shares.
  • Other conditions include: APO Price(s) of between J$48.00 to J$53.00 per New Ordinary Share;
  • New Ordinary Shares will be reserved for the benefit of certain specified investors in the amount and at prices as determined in the discretion of the Company;
  • APO to open on August 26th, 2020, and closes on September 16th, 2020 for subscription by investors.

(Source: JSE)

RJR Turns Around Prior Year Losses Published: 17 July 2020

  • Radio Jamaica Limited reported an audited net profit of $37.56Mn (EPS: 2¢) for the year ended March 31, 2020, representing a $60.00Mn improvement from the $22.44Mn (EPS: -1¢) loss reported in 2019.
  • This performance was driven by a 2.0% (or $109.81Mn) increase in total revenue coupled with a 5.7% (or 156.41Mn) decrease in cost of sales, a 1.1% (or $13.47Mn) reduction in admin expenses as well as 9.4% (or $5.25Mn) decline in finance cost.
  • The stock has fallen by -29.5% since the beginning of 2020. RJR closed Thursday’s trading session at $1.29 and currently trades at a P/E of 64.5x earnings which is equivalent to the Main Market Communications Sector Average of 64.5x earnings.

 (Source: RJR Financials)

Coronavirus To Ravage Economy Of Latin America, Output To Contract 9.1%: U.N. Agency Published: 17 July 2020

  • The coronavirus pandemic will swell the ranks of the poor and unemployed in Latin America and the Caribbean and drag the region´s economic output down by 9.1%.
  • The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) estimates that an additional 18 million people will find themselves out of work relative to 2019 levels, as lockdown measures continue to hammer already frail economies.
  • The region´s poor will swell to 230.9 million in 2020, up from 185.5 million in 2019, and account for 37.3% of Latin America and the Caribbean´s population. Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, Mexico, and Peru will see the largest spikes, the agency said.
  • Slumping growth globally, alongside a downturn in consumption and investment by top trade partners China and the United States, will hit demand for the region´s abundant raw materials, driving exports down by 23%.

(Source: Reuters)