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Jamaica Stock Exchange Records Marginal Growth in Profit Published: 13 May 2020

  • The Jamaica Stock Exchange reported unaudited net profits of $125.14Mn (EPS:18¢) for the three months ended March 31, 2020, which represents a marginal increase of 1.2% (or $10.37Mn)  from the $123.60Mn (EPS:18¢) that was made in the same period of the previous year.
  • This outturn can be explained by the 14.3% (or $63.47Mn) increase in revenue as well as a 496.4% (or $5.50Mn) increase in investment income, which outstripped the 21.1% (or $55.18Mn) increase in total expenses.
  • Since the start of the year, JSE stock price has fallen 23.9%, closing Tuesday’s trading session at $20.98. At this price, the company trades at a P/E of 28.4x earnings, which is above the Main Market Financial Sector Average of 14.2x.

 (Source: JSE Financials)

Protocols Being Developed For Reopening Of Tourism Industry Published: 13 May 2020

  • Pertaining to the protocols, the Prime Minister informed that the Minister of Tourism, Hon. Edmund Bartlett, has been working with the industry to establish the necessary protocols.
  • “We have to be timing [it] very carefully, because other countries are going to reopen and people are going to travel, and Jamaica must be the number-one destination for travel — that is how we recover stronger from crisis,” Mr. Holness added.
  • “All of our stakeholders, the hoteliers, the airlines, the travel agencies and the attractions, we have established probably one of the strongest teams ever assembled for the business of building the tourism fabric in our country. We are satisfied that within a short period of time and in consultation with all the stakeholders and partners… we will be able to announce a specific date that we will begin opening the tourism industry,” he said.

 (Source: JIS)

Panama's economy to contract at least 2% in 2020 hit by coronavirus Published: 13 May 2020

  • The Panamanian economy, one of the fastest growing in Latin America, will contract at least 2% in 2020, impacted by the crisis unleashed by the coronavirus.
  • The authority explained that, after more than a decade ranking among the best performing countries in the continent, Panama will have negative growth due to the stoppage of most activities to stop the spread of the virus.
  • Earlier this year, before the health crisis unleashed, the Ministry of Economy and Finance had forecast that GDP would grow around 4.5% - higher than 3% last year - driven by the activities of a huge copper mine, which had to be temporarily closed due to the outbreak.

(Source: Fitch)

Fitch Downgrades Costa Rica to 'B'; Outlook Negative Published: 13 May 2020

  • Fitch Ratings has downgraded Costa Rica's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'B' from 'B+'. The Outlook is Negative.
  • The downgrade of Costa Rica's Long-Term Foreign-Currency (LT FC) IDR to 'B' reflects increased risks of near-term financing stress due to widening fiscal deficits, a steep amortization schedule and borrowing constraints, against a background of economic contraction caused by the effects of the coronavirus pandemic.
  • The Negative Outlook reflects further downside risks to debt sustainability amid uncertain prospects for post-crisis fiscal consolidation, economic growth and borrowing costs.
  • Fitch expects Costa Rica's economy will contract by 4% in 2020, with risks tilted to the downside. Containment measures will lead to a sharp contraction in households' and firms' disposable income, which will affect domestic demand and unemployment.

(Source: Fitch)

U.S. reports record $738 billion budget deficit in April Published: 13 May 2020

  • The United States on Tuesday reported a record $738 billion budget deficit in April as an explosion in government spending and a shrinking of revenues amid the novel coronavirus pandemic pushed it deeply into the red.
  • The Treasury Department said the budget deficit in April was the first to reflect the enormity of government spending that has been authorized to try to mitigate the economic impact of the crisis. The previous record budget deficit for any month was $235 billion in February 2020.
  • The fiscal year-to-date deficit surged to $1.48 trillion compared to a $531 billion deficit in the comparable period in 2019, blasting past the previous monthly deficit record of $870 billion in April 2011.

(Source: Reuters)

UK GDP shrinks by record 5.8% in March, harder COVID hit ahead Published: 13 May 2020

  • Britain’s economy shrank by a record 5.8% in March as the coronavirus crisis escalated and the government shut down much of the country, according to official data that point towards an even bigger hit to come.
  • In the first three months of the year, GDP contracted by 2.0% from the last three months of 2019, the biggest drop since the depths of the financial crisis in late 2008, the Office for National Statistics said.
  • The Bank of England said last week that the contraction of the economy in the April-June period could approach 25% and lead to the largest annual decline in more than three centuries.

(Source: Reuters)

Fair value appreciation on investment property bolsters Pulse’s bottom line Published: 08 May 2020

  • Pulse Investment Ltd. reported unaudited net profit of $728.17Mn (EPS:12¢) for the nine month period ended March 31, 2019, representing a 121.3% (or $399.16Mn) increase relative to the prior year.
  • This outturn was as a result of an increase in fair value appreciation on investment property of 230.6% (or $304.28Mn) as well as a 37.0% (or $127.75Mn) increase in revenues. 
  • The stock has declined 62.5% since the start of the calendar year. Pulse closed Thursday’s trading session at $2.25 and currently trades at a P/E of 4.8x earnings which is below the Main Market average of 15.9x.

 (Source: Pulse Financials)

Framework Being Developed For Regulation Of PSPs Published: 08 May 2020

  • The Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) has commenced work to develop an enabling framework for the regulation of Payment Service Providers (PSPs).
  • This is to facilitate the entities’ designation under the Proceeds of Crime Act (POCA), Deputy Governor in charge of Market Operations and Currency, Natalie Haynes, has said.
  • Additionally, Mr. Byles said that in establishing the Sandbox, the BOJ has joined its regulatory counterparts globally, “in seeking to understand the opportunities that can be presented by financial technology, particularly in the delivery of payment services and consumer protection.”
  • “We view the Sandbox as one of the tools which is helping to respond to the advances in the market where the regulatory paradigm may not move as quickly. The OUR is keen to support the development of innovative products through cooperation with, and participation of the telecommunications sector,” Mr. Hewitt said.

 (Source: JIS)

Coronavirus Pandemic Will Undermine Support For Barbadian PM Mottley Published: 08 May 2020

  • The economic hardship caused by Covid-19 and Barbados’ limited fiscal space to cushion the negative impacts of the disease will reduce public support for Prime Minister Mia Mottley.
  • However, given the Barbados Labour Party’s (BLP) overwhelming majority in the House of Assembly and that the next election is not constitutionally mandated until 2023, Fitch expect Mottley to remain committed to fiscal consolidation.
  • An extended economic downturn poses downside risks to Mottley’s public support and social stability in Barbados.

 (Source: Fitch)

Post Covid-19: Mexico Bears Strong Pull Factors For Manufacturers Published: 08 May 2020

  • The Covid-19 crisis will prompt a sharp downturn in economic activity in Mexico over 2020, with the country's industrial sector being most exposed.
  • Social distancing and movement restrictions will crimp industrial productivity and service sector activity, investment will suffer amid deteriorated sentiment, and exports will contract from a tightening in global demand.
  • As pandemic risks subside, and movement restrictions are eased, Fithc believes that there is greater scope for Mexico’s labour market to recover and benefit from FDI into its automotive industry, as automakers look to bring their supply chains closer to home in order to comply with the US–Mexico–Canada Agreement and reduce their dependence on Chinese manufacturing.
  • This is because Mexico offers an attractive operating environment for automakers, scoring a strong 63.2 out of a possible 100 in our Autos Production Risk/Reward Index, due to its strong industrial policy, ability to manufacture complex goods and its proximity to the US and Canada.
  • Mexico's costs of employment are particularly competitive, having one of the lowest wages and highest levels of productivity in the wider Latin American region.

 (Source: Fitch)