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Signing, responding Published: 29 May 2020

  • President Donald Trump appears poised to sign a measure passed by Congress which would target Chinese officials for abusing the human rights of the country's Muslim minority.
  • In a parallel move, Trump told reporters he's preparing to announce new polices on China in response to Beijing's imposition of national security legislation on Hong Kong.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Powell control Published: 29 May 2020

  • Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell takes part in a moderated virtual discussion with former Fed Vice Chairman Alan Blinder from 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time.
  • While the market sees a lower chance of negative rates, the range of Fed tools is likely to be discussed. Latest data shows its holdings of corporate debt ETFs rose to almost $3 billion, while the weekly balance sheet added a line item for muni bond purchases.
  • It is also likely that Powell will be asked to comment on whether policy makers will engage in yield-curve control, as flagged by New York Fed President John Williams earlier this week.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Increased Expenses Chips Away Some of Elites Profit Published: 28 May 2020

  • Despite a 20.1% (or $58.04Mn) increase in revenue, Elite Diagnostic Limited recorded a 16.4 contraction in net profit for the nine months ended March 31, 2020. Net profit declined to $19.07Mn (EPS: 5¢) from $22.81Mn (EPS: 6¢) reported in the corresponding period in 2019.
  • The main contributor to this performance was increased expenses: administrative expenses increased 8.0% (or $9.60Mn), depreciation expenses climbed 32.1% (or $13.40Mn), while finance cost increased by 13.0% (or $1.80Mn).
  • Elite Diagnostic Limited stock price has fallen by 31.9% since the start of the calendar year, and closed Wednesday’s trading session at $3.40.  The stock currently trades at a P/E of 24.3x earnings, which is above the Junior Market Average of 19.6x.

(Source: Elite Financials)

Profit More Than Doubles at GENAC Published: 28 May 2020

  • General Accident Insurance Company Jamaica Ltd. reported unaudited net profit of $74.72Mn (EPS:7¢) for the three months ended March 31, 2020, representing a 142.0% growth in the bottom line relative to the $30.87Mn (EPS: 3¢) made in the same period of 2019.
  • This performance was driven by a 38.1% ($184.94Mn) increase in net premiums earned, a 59.8% (or $18.56Mn) increase in investment income as well as a 56.0% (or $108.27Mn) decline in commission expense.
  • The stock has fallen 9.2% since the start of the calendar year. GENAC closed Wednesday’s trading session at $6.45 and currently trades at a P/E of 11.1x earnings which is below the Junior Market Financial Sector Average of 23.9x. 

(Source: GENAC Financials)

Mexico's Planned Re-Opening A Gamble For AMLO Published: 28 May 2020

  • Mexico’s plan to gradually lift lockdown measures across the country carries a great deal of economic and political risk for President Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO).
  • While the government appears to believe Mexico’s outbreak is under control, concerns about testing capacity and steady growth in new cases suggest that re-opening too quickly could lead to a spike in new cases and deaths.
  • This outcome would likely push back Mexico’s economic recovery, potentially leading to social discontent with AMLO’s administration and clashes with local and state-level leaders.

(Source:  Fitch)

Panama to relax coronavirus measures in second stage of re-opening Published: 28 May 2020

  • The Panama government said on Tuesday that in June it will start to relax some measures imposed to curb the spread of the novel coronavirus, permitting sectors such as construction, nonmetallic mining and pharmaceuticals to resume operations.
  • As part of the second stage of reopening the economy, the textile, electronics and electricity sectors will also be able to resume operations.
  • Panama’s curfew will also be relaxed, and places of worship, parks and sporting facilities may reopen at up to 25% capacity.

(Source: Reuters)

International tourism faces biggest slump since 1950s: UNWTO Published: 28 May 2020

  • International tourism is set to fall by 70% this year, marking the sector’s biggest slump since records began in the 1950s, United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) Secretary-General Zurab Pololikashvili told newspaper Handelsblatt.
  • He said this prediction for the coronavirus-hit sector was based on the assumption that countries around the world would gradually open their borders from August.

(Source: Reuters)

Oil falls as surprise U.S. stock build douses demand recovery hopes Published: 28 May 2020

  • Oil prices fell on Thursday after U.S. industry data showed a surprise steep build in crude oil inventories, dampening hopes of a smooth recovery in demand as some countries ease coronavirus lockdowns.
  • The decline in oil benchmarks extended losses on Wednesday over uncertainty about Russia’s commitment to deep output cuts ahead of a June 9 meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, a grouping dubbed OPEC+.
  • Brent crude futures were down 1.12%, or 39 cents at $34.35 per barrel, after dropping to as low as $33.62 in earlier trade. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down 1.52%, or 50 cents, at $32.31 a barrel at 0945 GMT. The U.S. futures slipped earlier as much as 5% to a low of $31.14.

(Source: Reuters)

Gradual Recovery In Economic Activity To Improve Current Account Deficit Published: 22 May 2020

  • Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) Governor, Richard Byles, says the anticipated gradual recovery of economic activity from the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) is expected to result in improvements in the current account deficit of the balance of payments (BOP).
  • Byles noted that due to drastic changes in the pattern of economic activity in Jamaica and abroad, the current account deficit is projected to worsen by more than five percentage points of gross domestic product (GDP) in the current fiscal year to 7.5 per cent, from the 2.3 per cent estimated in 2019/20.
  • “This worsening mainly reflects the impact of the sudden stop in tourist arrivals and the slowdown in remittance inflows,” he said.He said that, in contrast, the merchandise trade deficit is projected to improve due to a decline in imports, particularly fuel, consequent on lower oil prices, which fell from US$55 per barrel during the last fiscal year, to US$30 currently.
  • Additionally, Mr. Byles said the fall in the incomes of Jamaicans, coupled with a decline in foreign direct investment (FDI)-related projects, is expected to constrain the importation of non-fuel consumer goods, raw materials and capital goods. He argued that the assumed gradual recovery of economic activity “implies that the current account deficit will also improve gradually over the ensuing two years”.

(Source: JIS)

Profits for Derrimon edged up 33.7% Published: 22 May 2020

  • Derrimon Trading Company Limited reported unaudited net profits attributable to shareholders of $91.62Mn (EPS: $0.034) for the three months ended March 31, 2020, up by 33.7% (or $23.11Mn) relative to the same period in the prior year.
  • This outturn can be explained by a 5.5% (or $173.20Mn) increase in trading income, a 360.1% (or $17.72Mn) increase in other income as well as a 15.4% (or $8.98Mn) decline in finance cost, which outstripped the 14.3% (or $58.18Mn) increase in operating expenses. 
  • The stock has fallen 12.5% since the start of the calendar year. Derrimon closed Thursday’s trading session at $2.24 and currently trades at a P/E of 19.5x earnings which is above the Junior Market Distribution Sector Average of 17.5x.

(Source: Derrimon Financials)