• The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects that DomRep’s economy will grow 9.5% in 2021, 40 basis points  higher than the 9.1% recently estimated by the World Bank. A swift vaccination campaign and resilient private consumption will drive domestic activity. 
• The positive projection is contrary to the drop of -6.7% registered by the DomRep economy in 2020, as a result of the economic closures imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic. 
• Based on  IMF projections, only Guyana (20.4%), Aruba (12.8%), Panama (12%), Chile (11%) and Peru (10%) from the region are expected to grow at a faster pace than the Dominican Republic.

(Source: IMF & Dominican Today)

• CIBC FirstCaribbean yesterday said it was “business as usual” for its Bahamas operations despite its move to exit five smaller regional jurisdictions. 
• In a sign that the Canadian-owned commercial bank has reverted to ‘Plan B’ following the February 2021 break-up of its deal to sell a controlling 66.73 percent equity stake to the Colombia-headquartered GNB Financial Group, CIBC announced that it has agreed to sell its operations in St Vincent, Grenada, Dominica and St. Kitts to a consortium of local banks. 
• They are The Bank of St. Vincent and the Grenadines; Grenada Co-Operative Bank; National Bank of Dominica; and St Kitts Nevis Anguilla National Bank. In addition, Aruba bank is acquiring its assets in that nation, with all transactions subject to regulatory approval. 
• Colette Delaney, CIBC’s chief executive, said in a statement: “These transactions enable FirstCaribbean to optimise and simplify its business, further enhance efficiency and focus on core markets to accelerate growth”.

(Source: The Tribune)

• The Federal Reserve could begin reducing the pace of its monthly asset purchases as soon as mid-November, according to minutes from the September meeting. 
• The summary, released Wednesday, indicated the tapering process could see a monthly reduction of $10 billion in Treasurys and $5 billion in mortgage-backed securities. The target date to end the purchases should there be no disruptions would be mid-2022. 
• In the “dot plot” of individual members’ expectations for interest rates, the committee indicated it could begin raising interest rates as soon as 2022. Markets currently are pricing in the first rate hike for next September, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Following the release of the minutes, traders increased the likelihood of a September hike to 65% from 62%.

(Source: CNBC News)

• Fitch Solutions, believes that the IMF’s latest economic forecasts present an overly optimistic look at EMs’ economic recovery in 2021. Instead, it expects that growth in key EMs including Chile, Turkey, Vietnam and Malaysia will fall far below the Fund’s expectations. 
• The IMF’s forecasts for 2022 are closer to Fitch’s, though, Fitch is a bit more optimistic about Chile and Vietnam and more pessimistic about Indonesia and Hungary. 
• Both Fitch and the IMF are of the view that EM inflation will ease in 2022 and over the coming years.

(Source: Fitch Solutions)

• Fitch Solutions, believes that the IMF’s latest economic forecasts present an overly optimistic look at EMs’ economic recovery in 2021. Instead, it expects that growth in key EMs including Chile, Turkey, Vietnam and Malaysia will fall far below the Fund’s expectations. 
• The IMF’s forecasts for 2022 are closer to Fitch’s, though, Fitch is a bit more optimistic about Chile and Vietnam and more pessimistic about Indonesia and Hungary. 
• Both Fitch and the IMF are of the view that EM inflation will ease in 2022 and over the coming years.

(Source: Fitch Solutions)

• Fitch Solutions, believes that the IMF’s latest economic forecasts present an overly optimistic look at EMs’ economic recovery in 2021. Instead, it expects that growth in key EMs including Chile, Turkey, Vietnam and Malaysia will fall far below the Fund’s expectations. 
• The IMF’s forecasts for 2022 are closer to Fitch’s, though, Fitch is a bit more optimistic about Chile and Vietnam and more pessimistic about Indonesia and Hungary. 
• Both Fitch and the IMF are of the view that EM inflation will ease in 2022 and over the coming years.

(Source: Fitch Solutions)

• Fitch Solutions, believes that the IMF’s latest economic forecasts present an overly optimistic look at EMs’ economic recovery in 2021. Instead, it expects that growth in key EMs including Chile, Turkey, Vietnam and Malaysia will fall far below the Fund’s expectations. 
• The IMF’s forecasts for 2022 are closer to Fitch’s, though, Fitch is a bit more optimistic about Chile and Vietnam and more pessimistic about Indonesia and Hungary. 
• Both Fitch and the IMF are of the view that EM inflation will ease in 2022 and over the coming years.

(Source: Fitch Solutions)

• Fitch Solutions, believes that the IMF’s latest economic forecasts present an overly optimistic look at EMs’ economic recovery in 2021. Instead, it expects that growth in key EMs including Chile, Turkey, Vietnam and Malaysia will fall far below the Fund’s expectations. 
• The IMF’s forecasts for 2022 are closer to Fitch’s, though, Fitch is a bit more optimistic about Chile and Vietnam and more pessimistic about Indonesia and Hungary. 
• Both Fitch and the IMF are of the view that EM inflation will ease in 2022 and over the coming years.

(Source: Fitch Solutions)

• Fitch Solutions, believes that the IMF’s latest economic forecasts present an overly optimistic look at EMs’ economic recovery in 2021. Instead, it expects that growth in key EMs including Chile, Turkey, Vietnam and Malaysia will fall far below the Fund’s expectations. 
• The IMF’s forecasts for 2022 are closer to Fitch’s, though, Fitch is a bit more optimistic about Chile and Vietnam and more pessimistic about Indonesia and Hungary. 
• Both Fitch and the IMF are of the view that EM inflation will ease in 2022 and over the coming years.

(Source: Fitch Solutions)

• Approximately 350,000 Jamaicans are expected to benefit from new grants under the Government’s COVID Allocation of Resources for Employees (CARE) Programme which is being expanded with a further budgetary allocation of $5.3Bn. 
• Over a period of six months, one-off grants, ranging from $10,000 to $18,000 will be provided for vulnerable persons in six categories at a total cost of $3.75Bn. Clarke noted that the interventions have to be targeted to those who need it most. Everyone is affected but in the interest of social cohesion, the Government is assisting those who are most in need. 
• One group to benefit is the set of unemployed persons, who had previously received grants under the Supporting Employees with Transfer of Cash (SET Cash) component and who remain out of work as of September 30, 2021. The SET Cash component of the CARE Programme caters to employees, who have either been laid off or had their jobs terminated as of March 10, 2020, due to economic challenges resulting from the coronavirus pandemic. 
• The CARE Programme forms part of the Social and Economic Recovery and Vaccine (SERVE) Jamaica Programme, which will be the foundation for the country’s economic revival.

(Source: JIS News)