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Crude Tumbles Published: 20 November 2019

  • A tumble for crude oil futures on Tuesday could impact broader markets. Futures in New York slumped as much as 3.5% for their biggest drop since the end of September on a report saying American Petroleum Institute stockpiles rose by 5.95 million barrels last week, ahead of government figures due later today.
  • A lack of progress on the trade war has also stoked concern around growth and the demand for energy, with the European benchmark, Brent crude, now down about 18% since April. 

(Source: Bloomberg)

Dolphin Cove Reports Dip in Profit Published: 19 November 2019

  • Dolphin Cove reported a 28.0% year-on-year decline in net profit to USD$2.12Mn (EPS: $0.54) for the nine-month period ended in September 2019. 
  • Revenues increased marginally by 0.1% (or USD$16.89K) while direct expenses were up 21.0% (or USD$218.96K) over the period.  The performance was also affected by a US$508.82K increase in selling, administrative and other operational expenses , and higher corporate taxes.  
  • The stock has declined 33.94% YTD and closed yesterday’s trading session at $10.90 per share. At this price, the stock trades at a P/E of 21.0x which is below the Junior Market average of 26.1x. 

 (Source: DCove Financials)

The IMF Has Concluded its November Visit to Barbados Published: 19 November 2019

 

  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has completed a two-week visit to Barbados. The IMF team, which was headed by Bert van Selm, was in the island from November 5-15 to complete its 2019 Article IV mission to Barbados and the second review under the Enhanced Fund Facility (EFF).
  • At the end of the visit, the team issued a statement in which it confirmed that “The authorities’ BERT [Barbados Economic Recovery and Transformation] programme, supported by the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility, is on track.”
  • The IMF elaborated that all program targets for the end of September 2019 under the EFF have been met. The program target for primary surplus was met by a comfortable margin, which bodes well for reaching the FY2019/20 primary surplus target of 6 percent of GDP. The Barbadian authorities also continue to make good progress in implementing structural benchmarks under the EFF.
  • At the conclusion of the visit, the IMF team and the government reached a staff-level agreement related to Barbados’ performance under the EFF arrangement. Barbados will receive another drawdown of approximately USD$48Mn.

 

(Source: Barbados GIS)

Dorian Leaves 3,000 Homes ‘Uninhabitable’ Published: 19 November 2019

  • Hurricane Dorian left almost 3,000 homes “uninhabitable”, a newly-released report has revealed, as it inflicted $1.487bn worth of damage on the housing sector in Abaco and Grand Bahama.
  • The long-awaited assessment of the category five storm’s financial impact, produced by the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) and other multilateral agencies, projected that the nation has taken a total $3.438bn hit through physical damage, economic/revenue losses and “additional costs” related to issues such as the Grand Bahama oil spill and environmental damage.

(Source: Tribune242)

U.K. Candidates Face-off Published: 19 November 2019

  • U.K Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the leader of the opposition, Jeremy Corbyn, go head to head in their first pre-election television debate on ITV tonight.
  • Corbyn spent part of Tuesday confirming plans to nationalize parts of industries like water and the railways, while the PM scrapped a tax cut for businesses due in 2020, leaving British companies facing an agonizing choice.
  • With bookies’ odds pointing to a Conservative majority, the pound is at a six-month high against the euro — but here’s a reminder of just how wrong odds makers can be.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Trade Trouble Published: 19 November 2019

  • The Trump administration’s trade war is ravaging exports to China across the U.S. and well beyond the farm belt, new data from the U.S. Commerce Department show.
  • More than 30 states stretching from Florida to Alaska suffered double-digit drops in merchandise exports to China through September of this year.
  • Sales to the Asian nation fell 39% in Texas, where oil and gas products comprise the largest export to that country. Exports to China support more than a million U.S. jobs, according to the U.S.-China Business Council, which represents American companies doing business in China.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Bonds, Bonds, Bonds Published: 13 November 2019

 

  • With some of the cheapest funding costs of the year on offer, it’s no wonder the floodgates have opened in the corporate bond market. 
  • Credit risk premiums have been tightening as investors pour money into corporate bond funds.
  • That’s encouraging companies to borrow, with AbbVie looking to price the year’s largest sale Tuesday, and at least 10 new deals in the junk-bond market.
  • It all adds to a bullish outlook as recession fears have abated amid stronger economic data and progress in U.S.-China trade talks, Bank of America strategists said in a report Friday.
  • Investors expect spreads to tighten further in the next three months, but could widen over the longer-term, the strategists said. With that in mind, issuers are looking to get in now while the getting’s good. 

(Source: Bloomberg)

IMF Credits ERP’s Success to Strong Stakeholder Ownership Published: 13 November 2019

 

  • Former International Monetary Fund (IMF) Mission Chief for Jamaica, Dr. Uma Ramakrishnan, has credited the success of the Economic Reform Programme (ERP) to the broad-based stakeholder ownership of the reforms and a commitment to “seeing things turn around”.
  • “The ownership that we have seen across political administrations, where things went smoothly and where there was the commitment to retaining the policy discipline, especially on the fiscal side, was something for everyone to take note of and take on board as a lesson,” she said.
  • Dr. Ramakrishnan was addressing journalists during a teleconference at the IMF’s local office at the Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) building in downtown Kingston on Monday, November 11.
  • The ERP is the Government of Jamaica’s strategic plan of action to generate sustained economic growth and long-term development of Jamaica. It targets public debt reduction, macroeconomic stability, and higher levels of job creation and improved labor force productivity as key outcomes.

(Source: JIS)

SOS Reports Strong Growth In Profit Published: 13 November 2019

 

  • SOS grew profits 24.5% for the nine-month period ended September 2019. Net profit for the period was $114.00Mn (EPS: $0.46) up from $91.58Mn (EPS: $0.37).
  • Favorable movement in revenues which increased by $131.77Mn (or 16.4%) was the main driver behind the improved performance.
  • The stock has increased by 49.7% YTD and closed yesterday’s trading session at $12.50 per share. At this price, the stock trades at a P/E of 27.17x which is above the Junior Market Distribution Sector average of 24.90x. 

 

(Source: SOS Financials)

Tariff Threat Published: 13 November 2019

 

  • In true game-theory style, President Donald Trump said the U.S. will increase tariffs on China if the first step of a broader agreement isn’t reached.
  • “If we don’t make a deal, we’re going to substantially raise those tariffs,” he said Tuesday in a speech to the Economic Club of New York. “And that’s going to be true for other countries that mistreat us too.” 
  • Nevertheless, he noted that the world’s two largest economies were “close” on phase one deal. 
  • Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping had planned to sign “phase one” of the deal this month in Chile, but the official ratification hit a roadblock when the event was canceled due to social unrest in Santiago.
  • A new site for the signing hasn’t yet been announced. Still, U.S. stocks have rallied to records in recent days partly on optimism that tensions are cooling. 

(Source: Bloomberg)