• Britain's economy shrank for a second month in a row in October in the run-up to the government's first budget, the first back-to-back falls in output since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, and a setback for new finance minister Rachel Reeves.
• Gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 0.1% month-on-month in October, as it did in September, the Office for National Statistics said. It was the first consecutive drop in monthly GDP - which is volatile and prone to revision - since March and April 2020, when Britain enforced its first coronavirus lockdown.
• Economists polled by Reuters had forecasted a monthly expansion of 0.1%. The ONS said there was "mixed" anecdotal evidence from companies that turnover had been affected by companies waiting for the budget statement, which imposed large tax rises on businesses. Others brought forward activity.
• The services sector flatlined, while output in the manufacturing and construction industries declined in October's data, which measured the economy in the weeks before Reeves' budget statement on Oct. 30.
• Reeves and Prime Minister Keir Starmer warned that the budget would include painful tax increases. The data adds to a run of worse-than-expected figures for Britain’s economy, with business surveys and retail sales readings also falling flat.
• “While the figures this month are disappointing, we have put in place policies to deliver long-term economic growth,” Reeves said in a statement.

(Sources: Reuters & GDN Online)

• Kingston Properties Limited (KPREIT) closed on the acquisition of a 20,000 sqft fully tenanted office building in Bristol, United Kingdom on December 12, 2024. This marks the Group’s first acquisition in the UK and is part of its strategy of pursuing greater geographic diversification.
• The property is located in the Aztec West Business Park just north of Bristol – the fifth largest city in the UK, which attracts players in the aerospace, defense, engineering, financial services, media and environment services industries. KPREIT is bullish on the UK and expects the economy to see growth in 2025 with increased government spending and continuing interest rate cuts.
• According to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), UK’s GDP growth is projected to strengthen to 1.7% in 2025, boosted by the large increase in public expenditure set out in the autumn budget, before slowing to 1.3% in 2026, as the effect of fiscal expansion tapers off.
• The sub-urban small office sub sector continues to show resilience and is expected to continue to see growth with the campaign for a return to the office in the UK. The tenants in the building range in services from insurance, shipping, and service office providers to one of the largest suppliers of affordable housing and care in the UK.
• The rapid growth of the service or flexible office industry since the pandemic signals the direction of the office for the future and bodes well for the continuing demand for office space.
• This acquisition was funded using both debt and the proceeds from the sale of units at Tropic Centre in the Cayman Islands and now brings the geographic dispersion of assets to: Cayman Islands (45%), Jamaica (42%), UK (7%) and US (6%).
• KPREIT’s stock price has increased 22.9% since the start of the calendar year. The stock closed Thursday’s trading session at $9.59 and currently trades at a P/E of 10.2x, which is below the Main Market Real Estate Sector Average of 10.3x.

(Sources: JSE & NCBCM Research)

• Mexico's central bank expressed confidence in the country's financial system despite the "notable weakness" of Latin America's second-largest economy and risks from market volatility and potential trade conflicts.
• In its biannual financial stability report, the Bank of Mexico attributed the system's stability to strong institutions, highlighting its "solid and resilient" framework, with capital and liquidity levels exceeding regulatory requirements.
• "While the vulnerabilities and risks identified for financial stability are generally considered limited, unexpected or severe shocks could affect its proper functioning," Banxico, as the central bank is known, noted in the report.
• Mexican markets have experienced considerable volatility in the year's second half, amid elections in Mexico and the U.S., its top trading partner. U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has promised to levy a 25% across-the-board tariff on Mexican imports.
• Uncertainty over a slew of constitutional overhauls in Mexico also contributed to a weakened local currency. Still, Mexican markets have managed to behave in a "relatively orderly" manner, the report said.

(Source: Reuters)

• Víctor “Ito” Bisonó, the Minister of Industry, Commerce, and MSMEs (MICM), underscored the Dominican Republic's strategic strengths as a premier investment destination during the World Strategic Forum 2024: Prospering in the New Economy in Miami.
• He emphasised the nation’s transformation under President Luis Abinader, crediting strategic policies and sustainable development for what he called “the Dominican miracle.”.
• Bisonó outlined the Dominican Republic's strong post-pandemic recovery, highlighting a projected 5.1% economic growth for 2024—the highest in the region, as reported by the World Bank and IMF. He also emphasised Standard & Poor's recent credit rating upgrade to BB, reinforcing the nation’s economic stability and investor confidence.
• Foreign direct investment increased by 7.1% year-on-year in 2023, accounting for 41% of total inflows into Central America. The United States has been the leading contributor, representing 30% of investments over the past decade.
• Bisonó spotlighted the country’s readiness for nearshoring, particularly in the semiconductor and printed circuit industries. With incentives like decree 324-24 prioritizing semiconductor development, advantages include strategic location, robust logistics, eight international airports, top-ranked port connectivity, and skilled talent.
• Decree 324-24 is a Dominican Republic decree that was issued on June 13, 2024, to advance the country's semiconductor industry. Furthermore, Initiatives like “Zero Bureaucracy” and “24-hour Office” streamline processes, ensuring a business-friendly environment. “The Dominican Republic is not just a future opportunity—it’s a place to invest today,” he concluded.
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(Source: CarCris)

• U.S. producer prices increased by the most in five months in November but easing costs of services such as portfolio management fees and airline fares offered hope that the disinflationary trend remains in place despite stalled progress.
• A surge in the price of eggs amid an avian flu outbreak accounted for much of the bigger-than-expected rise in producer inflation last month. Other details of the report from the Labour Department on Thursday were, however, mostly favourable, prompting economists to sharply lower their estimates for the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price measures tracked by the Federal Reserve for its 2.0% inflation target.
• The producer price index for final demand jumped 0.4%, the largest gain since June, after an upwardly revised 0.3% increase in October, the Labour Department's Bureau of Labour Statistics said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the PPI gaining 0.2% following a previously reported 0.2% rise in October.
• In the 12 months through November, the PPI shot up 3.0%. That was the biggest year-on-year increase since February 2023 and followed a 2.6% rise in October. The government reported on Wednesday that consumer prices increased by the most in seven months in November, while a measure of underlying price pressures continued to run warmer over the past four months.
• Wholesale goods prices surged 0.7%, accounting for nearly 60% of the monthly rise in the PPI, after edging up 0.1% in October. Food prices soared 3.1%, making up 80% of the increase in goods prices. Wholesale egg prices vaulted 54.6%, the most since June, after declining 20.6% in October.
• Core PCE inflation is one of the measures tracked by the Fed for monetary policy. It rose 0.3% for a second straight month in October. Core inflation was forecast to increase 2.8% year-on-year in November, matching October's advance.

(Source: Reuters)

• Worried over this increasingly dark outlook, and what ECB President Christine Lagarde described as "uncertainty ... in abundance", a handful of policymakers even pushed for a bigger half-percentage-point rate cut to buffer the euro zone economy. However, they settled unanimously on 25 basis points, Lagarde said, taking the ECB's deposit rate, the benchmark for borrowing costs across the 20-nation currency bloc, to 3%.
• The central bank also removed an earlier reference in its guidance to keep interest rates sufficiently restrictive, which economists took as a sign that further policy easing is coming - perhaps as soon as January, as inflation is seen settling at the ECB's 2% target in early 2025. Lagarde also warned that domestic inflation remained uncomfortably high, and that victory over excessive price growth was not yet complete.
• Investors even see a 30.0% probability that the January cut will be 50 basis points, or that the rate-cutting streak will last beyond June, taking the deposit rate to 1.75% by end-2025. The changed guidance is also a clear hint that rates could fall at least to the so-called neutral level - hard to define but probably between 2% and 2.5% - which neither stimulates nor slows growth.
• Even if Lagarde was vague about further rate cuts, she went out of her way to emphasize downside risks to growth, including from prospective trade tensions with the United States under incoming U.S. President Donald Trump. These fears fed at least partly into the ECB's economic projections, which predicted even slower growth than already expected and recovery both shallow and delayed.
• Policymakers backing a 50-basis point move argued that economic growth could fall below 1% next year if punitive tariffs are imposed as Trump has threatened. With Germany facing an early election and France struggling to find a stable government, downside risks prevail.

(Source: Reuters)

• Dolla Financial Services Limited (DOLLA) has successfully closed its $1.9Bn 12% Secured Corporate Notes, with Mayberry Investments Limited serving as the lead arranger and broker.
• This marks a significant milestone for the company, reflecting the confidence of the investment community in Dolla’s vision and growth potential. Initially targeted at $1Bn, the offer was upsized to $1.9Bn in response to strong demand.
• The Notes carry a tenure of four years, maturing on September 30, 2028, and the net proceeds from this issuance will be utilised to strategically expand the Company’s loan portfolio.
• This follows the company raising J$500Mn through an Initial Public Offer (IPO), was after which it listed on the Junior market of the JSE on June 14, 2022. The IPO was oversubscribed by approximately 950%, indicating strong investor interest in the company. 
• Dolla's stock price has increased by 11.4% since the start of the calendar year. The stock closed Wednesday’s trading session at $3.02 and trades at a P/B of 7.1x, above the Junior Market Financial Sector Average of 2.6x.

(Sources: JSE & NCBCM Research)

• Jamaica’s small farmers have, so far, generated sales totalling nearly $400Mn via the Agri-Linkages Exchange (ALEX) platform in 2024. This was disclosed by Tourism Minister, Hon. Edmund Bartlett, who noted that this out-turn resulted from trading between the farmers and hotels, describing this as being “very significant”.
• Noting that close to $1Bn was generated via the ALEX platform last year, Mr. Bartlett expressed optimism about continued growth, despite setbacks in relation to visitor arrivals due to Hurricane Beryl and other disruptions in the sector in 2024.
• “We expect that the year will end with excess of over $500Mn of trading between these small farmers,” he told JIS News.
• “So, the linkages that we’ve tried to develop between tourism, manufacturing, agriculture and the myriad of industries that operate within our space is something that we are getting more and more proud of, as a larger number of Jamaicans are becoming inserted in the tourism value chain,” Minister Bartlett added.

• The ALEX platform is a collaborative initiative between the Tourism Enhancement Fund (TEF) and the Rural Agricultural Development Authority (RADA) that has revolutionised the interaction between hoteliers and farmers.

(Source: JIS)

• The President of Panama, José Raúl Mulino, made official this Wednesday, December 11, a $500Mn financing program with the international banks Citi and BBVA, aimed at promoting the country’s economic reactivation plan, which will be managed through the state-owned Caja de Ahorros (CA).
• The program includes a financial contribution of $250 million from Citi and another $250 million from BBVA.
• “The money for the Panamanian people will not come from subsidies or royalties from the State, but from economic reactivation through the private sector, which will result in fresh money to boost the economy” the president said.
• This financing is projected to support various productive sectors, with an emphasis on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), seeking to promote economic development and job creation throughout the country.

(Source: Panama Newsroom)

• Brazil's central bank raised interest rates by 100 basis points on Wednesday and signaled same-size hikes for the next two meetings as it navigates increasing inflation challenges alongside fiscal woes.
• The bank's rate-setting committee, known as Copom, unanimously increased the benchmark Selic rate to 12.25%, highlighting the negative impacts of a recent fiscal announcement by the government on asset prices, inflation expectations, and the exchange rate.
• "The committee judges that these impacts contribute to a more adverse inflation dynamics," said policymakers in the decision statement, the last under Governor Roberto Campos Neto's leadership at the central bank.
• This comes after the release of a highly anticipated spending cut package by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's administration, which failed to meet expectations and has weakened confidence in the government's ability to control the growing public debt.
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(Source: Reuters)