• Mexico's annual inflation rate likely ticked up in April, but remained within the central bank's target, a Reuters poll of analysts showed on Monday, supporting expectations that the central bank will continue cutting its benchmark interest rate.
• The median estimate from 16 analysts was for the year-on-year headline inflation rate for April to rise to 3.90% from 3.80% in March. Mexico's central bank has an official target rate of 3%, plus or minus a percentage point.
• Core inflation, considered a better indicator of price trends, likely also accelerated in April, to 3.92% from 3.64% in March. In April alone, consumer prices likely edged up 0.30% from the previous month while core prices are expected to have risen 0.47%, according to the poll.
• In March, the central bank (Banxico) cut its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, bringing it down to 9%. The bank's board said it expects the inflationary environment to keep cutting borrowing costs.
• Banxico will announce its next monetary policy decision on May 15. Although economic growth is not part of Banxico's mandate, analysts believe a weak economic outlook stemming from global trade tensions could encourage policy makers to continue monetary easing.
• Mexico's economy avoided a technical recession by surprisingly growing by 0.2% between January and March, compared to a 0.6% contraction the previous quarter. The government sees the economy growing between 1.5% and 2.3% this year, according to a draft budget from the finance ministry. Private sector analysts polled by the central bank late last month lowered their growth forecast to just 0.20% from 0.50% previously. They also nudged up their year-end inflation estimate

• Guyana’s Minister of Agriculture, Zulfikar Mustapha, recently met with fishermen from Grove, Ogle, and Meadowbank to outline the government’s ongoing and planned infrastructural upgrades aimed at enhancing the fishing sector and supporting the livelihoods of fishermen along Guyana’s coast.
• In the meeting, held to foster open dialogue, Minister Mustapha reiterated the government’s strong commitment to improving facilities for the fishing community and ensuring the sector remains sustainable and productive.
• One of the major announcements was that dredging works at the Ogle channel are set to begin in the coming days. The initiative, delivered in keeping with a promise made by Vice President Dr. Bharrat Jagdeo, is expected to significantly improve navigability and safety for fishing vessels operating in the area.
• Minister Mustapha also revealed that at the Meadowbank Wharf, a contractor has already been mobilised to remove several derelict and abandoned boats that currently pose risks to both safety and sanitation. The clean-up effort is designed to facilitate smoother operations and a healthier working environment for all users of the facility.
• These upgrades form part of the government’s broader strategy to modernise Guyana’s fishing industry and enhance infrastructure that directly supports small-and medium-scale fishermen.

(Source: Guyana Chronicles)

• Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney visited the White House on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, for his first talks with Donald Trump and bluntly told the U.S. President that Canada would never be for sale.
• Carney won the April 28 election on a promise to stand up to Trump, who has imposed tariffs on some Canadian products and often muses about annexing the country. Although Carney has repeatedly called these actions a betrayal, the two leaders showed little animosity during an opening session at the Oval Office, where both men praised each other in front of reporters.
• Trump, whose tariff policy has rattled world markets, had said he and Carney would discuss "tough points," an allusion to the president's belief that the United States can do without Canadian products, a point that he made at length during the Oval Office conversation. "Regardless of anything, we're going to be friends with Canada. Canada is a very special place to me," Trump said, adding that the United States would always protect Canada.
• Importantly, Carney's Liberal Party promised voters it would create a new bilateral economic and security relationship with Washington and diversify an economy heavily dependent on exports to the U.S.
• Carney's comments about a new economic relationship had cast doubt on the future of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, which Trump signed during his first White House term but has distanced himself from. It is due to be reviewed in 2026. Carney steered clear of suggesting a major revamp, saying only that some things about the pact needed to be changed, while Trump described the agreement as fine and great for all countries.

(Source: Reuters)

• Britain's services sector, accounting for much of the economy, shrank in April for the first time since October 2023 and at the fastest pace in more than two years, according to a survey that showed U.S. tariff turmoil is hammering exports and sentiment.
• The S&P Global UK Services Purchasing Managers Index dropped to 49.0 last month from March's 52.5, the steepest pace of decline since January 2023, although it was marginally above a preliminary reading for April of 48.9.
• New orders and employment both fell more sharply than in March, while input cost pressures increased at the fastest rate since July 2023, something the Bank of England (BoE) is likely to note ahead of its interest rate meetings this week.
• Survey compiler S&P Global said the faster input inflation reflected a rise in payroll taxes introduced by British finance minister Rachel Reeves and a nearly 7% increase in the minimum wage. The monthly fall in hiring was the seventh in a row.
• The BoE is expected to reduce its benchmark Bank Rate to 4.25% from 4.5% on Thursday, May 8, and investors are wondering if the central bank will signal a quicker pace of cuts further ahead. BoE policymakers have said Trump’s trade policies will hit growth, although the impact on inflation is not yet clear.
• Furthermore, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) last month cut its forecast for British economic growth in 2025 to 1.1% from a previous estimate of 1.6%, but said the country was likely to grow more strongly than its peers in Europe, including France and Germany.

(Sources: Reuters)

• Rentaly, a new Real Estate technology platform that functions as a property locator and Real Estate mortgage finance platform is set to launch in the third quarter of 2025. The platform developed by University of Technology, Jamaica (UTech) alumnus Denzil Williams and his team has partnered with Real Estate expert Johan O’Gilvie of Immobilien Limited to come to market. It aims to transform the way Jamaicans search for, and finance property, offering an integrated digital marketplace for property listings, rental proposals, and mortgage pre-qualifications.
• Johan O’Gilvie, who will be taking the reins as CEO, says the team is on track to bring the platform to the market in quarter three of this year. it will be Jamaica’s first Real Estate platform that integrates property location, pricing, mortgage financing and rent calculations. The platform will accommodate property sales and rentals where prospects can submit proposals for an agreement in a marketplace that assists with providing successful matches.
• Denzil Williams, who was presenting on the progress of the previous winners at this year’s Sagicor Innovation Challenge at the Jamaica Pegasus Hotel on April 22 stated, “…The site features banking portals, AI insights, 3-D mapping and fully automated underwriting.”
• “We have gone from Rentaly, the student short-term rental matcher, to Jamaica’s number one Real Estate platform. We pitched five years ago, matching students with housing, now we have pivoted. We thought of opening up to allow adults seeking places,” said Williams.
• The site also gets buyers partially qualified for mortgages. “We help with mortgage estimating, closing costs information and other forms of acquisition guidance. Buyers can get prequalified through Rentaly.” O’Gilvie expressed.
• Rentaly, at an appropriate time, will be open to investors, with 20% of shares currently unallocated.

(Source: JIS)

• The Panama Canal is set to close the west lane of its Pedro Miguel lock for five days later this month for maintenance, but reduced traffic because of the trade war between the U.S. and China should mean smooth sailing for shippers.
• In an update, analysts at shipping broker, NETCO, noted that the trade war between the U.S. and China has led to reduced traffic, shorter wait times and lower auction prices at the vital waterway, which likely means disruptions because of the maintenance will be minimal.
• Notably, the report noted that the number of unbooked regular-size vessels is slowing, with fewer than 50 arrivals projected over the next week. Previously, the availability of auction slots was limited to two per day for regular-sized vessels. However, with slowing demand for slots, auction prices are coming down, NETCO said, with the highest bid last week coming in at $65,000, down from the previous week’s highest bid of $101,000.
• This indicates that the situation at the canal is improving. Average waiting times are also falling, with southbound vessels waiting 0.4 days and northbound vessels waiting 1.2 days over the past week. The improved situation at the canal, however, is due to softer market conditions as well as the Panama Canal Authority’s (PCA’s) operational adjustments. “However, this stability is fragile and closely tied to subdued traffic levels – particularly in container, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and tanker segments,” NETCO said.
• “As global trade demand begins to rebound in the second half of 2025, increased pressure on the canal could reintroduce bottlenecks and cost volatility. Ongoing monitoring of transit slot availability, auction pricing, vessel queues, and rainfall patterns will be key to anticipating whether current efficiencies can be sustained or if renewed congestion is likely.”

(Source: Newsroom Panama)

• Costa Rica, known as one of the best places for a relaxing vacation, is losing middle-class U.S. tourists as costs climb. Higher prices for lodging, food, and transportation, driven by a stronger local currency and inflation, have shifted the country toward an exclusive, high-end market, raising alarms in the tourism sector.
• A Yahoo Finance report, “5 Vacation Expenses the Middle Class Can’t Afford Anymore,” highlights this trend. “Costa Rica was once known as a budget-friendly destination. However, a combination of currency shifts and inflation has pushed vacation costs far beyond what many middle-class travellers can afford,” the article stated.
• Casey Halloran, CEO and co-founder of Costa Rican Vacations, noted that the average vacation cost, excluding flights, has risen from $5,500 in 2022 to $7,800. This has led U.S. tourists to choose cheaper destinations like Panama or the Dominican Republic or to shorten trips. “We are also seeing a shift to shorter stays, sometimes as little as just four nights versus the more traditional seven-night stay. However, what we hear from many who experience sticker shock at seeing one of our quotes is they simply choose to stay home,” he added.
• The Costa Rican Tourism Institute (ICT) reported a 10% decline in U.S. visitors in 2024, with 1.4Mn arrivals compared to 1.56Mn in 2023. Air arrivals fell 7% in February 2025, from 291,090 to 270,810, marking seven months of declines. The Costa Rican colón’s appreciation, now at 512 per U.S. dollar from 614 in 2022, has increased costs by 15%–20% for Americans, per the National Chamber of Tourism (CANATUR). Shirley Calvo, CANATUR’s executive director, said, “The exchange rate is hurting our competitiveness. Tourists are choosing places where their dollars stretch further.”
• Security issues compound the problem. The Judicial Investigation Agency (OIJ) recorded 907 homicides in 2023, 880 in 2024, and 225 in early 2025, mostly drug-related. Over 6,300 tourists faced crimes like theft and assault from 2020 to 2024, prompting U.S. and Canadian Level 2 travel advisories for increased caution. A recent car robbery gained international attention, with recent posts stating, “Costa Rica is now expensive, and crime is up”.
• Tourism, contributing 8.2% to GDP and 8.8% to employment, supports rural areas like Guanacaste and Limón. CANATUR projects a 15–20% arrival drop in 2025, risking jobs. The Nosara hotel reported a 25% booking decline, cutting staff. “U.S. families aren’t coming as before,” a manager told La Nación.
• CANATUR seeks exchange rate intervention, but Central Bank President Róger Madrigal cites reduced U.S. flights (down 10% in 2025) and competition from Panama, which saw a 12% U.S. visitor rise. Hotel prices have risen 20% since 2020, with 13.0% VAT, higher electricity, and wages adding pressure. Health risks like 1,900 dengue cases in 2025 and shellfish toxin bans are minor but noted.

(Source: Reuters)

• The Trump administration will offer a $1,000 stipend and travel assistance to migrants who elect to voluntarily "self-deport" from the U.S., the Department of Homeland Security said on Monday, May 5, 2025. The stipend and potential airfare for migrants who voluntarily depart would cost less than an actual deportation, the agency said. The average cost of arresting, detaining and deporting someone without legal status is currently about $17,000, according to DHS.
• The Trump administration has deported 152,000 people since January 20, according to DHS, lower than the 195,000 deported from February-April last year under Biden.
• Trump's administration has tried to encourage migrants to leave voluntarily by threatening steep fines, trying to strip away legal status, and deporting migrants to notorious prisons in Guantanamo Bay and El Salvador.
• In March, the administration launched a rebranded app called CBP Home to facilitate self-deportation. The app, previously called CBP One, was used by the Biden administration to allow migrants to enter the U.S. legally.
• Trump previewed the stipend plan in April, saying the U.S. would consider allowing migrants to return. "If they're good, if we want them back in, we're going to work with them to get them back in as quickly as we can," he said. Additionally, in the announcement on Monday, DHS said people who choose to leave "may help preserve" the ability to return legally, but did not cite any specific pathway or program.

(Source: Reuters)

• U.S. President Donald Trump's administration has not yet made any final decisions on foreign film tariffs but is exploring all options to deliver on the president's directive concerning Hollywood, White House spokesman Kush Desai said on Monday, May 5, 2025.
• Trump on Sunday announced a 100% tariff on movies produced outside the country, saying the American movie industry was dying a "very fast death" due to the incentives that other countries were offering to lure filmmakers.
• Importantly, filmmakers have for years left Hollywood for destinations including the UK and Canada to lower costs. One non-US union said the tariff plan would be a "knock-out blow" to the international industry. A White House official noted that Hollywood film production saw a sharp decline in the first quarter of 2025, logging just 451 "shoot days" for feature films in the region - a drop of nearly 30% from a year earlier.
• It was unclear if the tariffs would apply to films on streaming services, as well as those shown at cinemas, or how they would be calculated. Notwithstanding, Netflix (NFLX), Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), and Paramount Global (PARA) were each down around 1% in late afternoon trading after paring steeper losses earlier in the session. Disney (DIS) hovered just above the flatline.
• In his Truth Social post announcing the new tariff, Trump said he was authorising the relevant government agencies, such as the Department of Commerce, to immediately begin the process of imposing a 100% tariff on all films produced abroad that are then sent into the United States. The White House released no details on the legal basis for the move or how it would be implemented, leaving many in the film industry flummoxed.
• “Although no final decisions on foreign film tariffs have been made, the administration is exploring all options to deliver on President Trump’s directive to safeguard our country’s national and economic security while Making Hollywood Great Again," Desai said.

(Sources: Reuters)

• After a delay in submission, Dolphin Cove Limited (DCOVE) released its Audited Financials for the year ended December 31, 2024 (FY24), which showed it recorded a 40.3% decline in net profit to US$1.83Mn. The decline was primarily driven by lower revenues, which outweighed marginal savings on total costs.
• Revenues fell by 10.6% to US$7.51Mn as both programme^[1] income (-14.1%) and ancillary services^[2] (-7.0%) declined. DCOVE’s revenues were impacted by a decline in the number of park visitors, amid severe weather, primarily Hurricane Beryl, which led to park closures for 5 to 8 days. Additionally, a drop in flights to Montego Bay, particularly from major U.S. markets in the wake of the US Travel Advisory, also contributed to the decrease in visitors.
• Lower revenues were met by marginal savings on total costs, which were down by 1.7% to US$10.59Mn. Direct costs were relatively flat, but its administrative costs were 31.0% lower, reflecting the absence of a one-off expense due to a GCT liability in FY23.
• However, most of these savings were offset by higher operations and selling costs, up by US$0.29Mn (+7.6%) and US$0.36Mn (+13.3%) respectively. DCOVE also faced higher net finance costs, which rose by 86.4% to US$0.59Mn, as lower finance income amid lower FX gains was met by higher finance costs after the drawdown of a 12% Sagicor loan worth US$1.27Mn.
• With lower revenues and marginal total cost savings resulting in a falloff in net profit, earnings per share declined from US$0.74 in the prior year to US$0.47.
• At the market close on Thursday, DCOVE’s stock was J$11.50, down by 62.2% since the end of last calendar year. News that its parent company was filing for bankruptcy and boardroom disagreements contributed to the depreciation in the stock price. At its current price, DCOVE trades at a P/E of 17.10x, which is above the Junior Market Others Sector average of 16.20x.

(Source: Dolphin Cove Limited & NCBCM Research)

^[1] Programme attraction revenue represents programme fees from hotels, cruise ships and walk-in guests.

^[2] Ancillary services revenue represents revenue from the operation of restaurants, gift shops, photo shops and other adventure tours.