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  MFS Capital Partners Limited Signs MOU for The Acquisition of Century Business Machines Limited Published: 24 March 2026

  • MFS Capital Partners has signed and entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Century Business Machines Limited (CBM) to acquire a 100% stake in the company, effective March 18, 2026.
  • Century Business Machines Limited (CBM) is a leading Jamaican provider of office supplies, technology, and furniture, offering comprehensive workplace solutions backed by decades of reliable service, quality products, and strong customer support.
  • The MOU sets the framework for exclusive negotiations between the parties and outlines the key terms and conditions for the proposed transaction. The acquisition remains subject to the satisfactory completion of due diligence, the negotiation and execution of definitive agreements, and the receipt of any required regulatory approvals.
  • The acquisition forms part of MFS Capital's growth strategy and is expected to significantly enhance the Company's revenue base and portfolio diversification.
  • MFS’s stock price has declined by 2.6% since the start of the year to close at $0.40 on Monday, March 23, 2026. At this current price, its P/E of 3.5x is below the Junior Market Financial Sector average of 14.1x.

(Source: JSE)

Latin America Positioned to Benefit from Critical Minerals Shift Published: 24 March 2026

  • The scramble to secure critical mineral supply chains has become a defining feature of Western economic policy, driven by surging artificial intelligence (AI)-related demand and deepening concerns over Mainland China’s dominance across the value chain. In this context, the International Energy Agency’s 2025 report projects potential supply shortfalls of around 30% for copper and 40% for lithium by 2035, while AI-driven demand is pushing up the price of the minerals that power AI infrastructure itself.
  • Latin America is already a net beneficiary of current geopolitical trends and stands to gain further by leveraging its position as a major supplier of critical minerals. Limited interstate conflict, improving investment conditions, and large and concentrated mineral endowments position the region as a more reliable and stable source of supply that will support a rising share of global mining investment and capital inflows.
  • This strengthening regional supply outlook coincides with a more active US policy focus on LATAM, with the Trump administration moving aggressively to secure supply through bilateral frameworks and agreements with countries such as Argentina, Ecuador, Paraguay and Peru, as part of a broader strategy targeting both raw material supply and processing capacity.
  • Against this backdrop, the current environment, where Western governments are actively seeking to develop processing capacity outside China, creates scope for LATAM countries to move up the value chain into processing and refining, thereby allowing producers to leverage competing strategic interests to secure commitments for local processing capacity.
  • Notwithstanding, progress remains at an early stage and depends on overcoming regulatory complexity and infrastructure constraints, with early investment trends in countries like Brazil and Argentina indicating gradual progress. Despite Brazil holding roughly a quarter of global rare-earth reserves, it accounts for less than 0.5% of production.
  • Moreover, a second channel through which this shift will materialise is through downstream energy and digital infrastructure. LATAM’s abundant renewable energy resources, particularly hydro, attract investment from US hyperscalers, such as Amazon, Microsoft and Google, who are expanding their presence in Brazil and Chile, while Mexico’s nearshoring boom is driving data centre development. However, risks such as environmental opposition, regulatory uncertainty, and the potential for a resource curse could limit the region’s ability to fully capitalise on these trends.

(Source: BMI, A Fitch Solutions Company)

Oil’s Surge Forces Latin American to Overhaul its Energy Policies Published: 24 March 2026

  • Latin American governments are launching a sweeping realignment of energy and fiscal policies, warning that the surge in oil prices from the Iran war threatens regional stability. Dominican Republic President Luis Abinader announced a “responsible” adjustment to domestic fuel prices to protect public finances.
  • President Abinader called on businesses to adopt remote work and urged a new level of citizen consciousness to optimise fuel consumption. Warning that the surge creates an escalating fiscal burden that could “jeopardise the sustainability” of the state, Abinader’s administration is preparing to subsidise fertilisers to the tune of 1 billion pesos ($17 million) and redirect 10 billion pesos to bolster social programs. Abinader’s remarks mirror a broader regional pivot as leaders across the political spectrum grapple with the fallout of global energy volatility. “This is not due to domestic economic weakness, but rather because we are facing an external shock of great magnitude,” he said.
  • While the government will bear the brunt of the effort, citizens must prepare for “inevitable sacrifices,” including upward pressure on electricity and food costs, Abinader said. In Chile, President José Antonio Kast said in an interview with La Tercera that “things cannot remain as they are if the price of oil doubles.” Shunning what he termed “populist exits,” Kast signalled he will use executive authority to adjust the Fuel Prices Stabilization Mechanism (MEPCO) fuel-price stabilisation mechanism.
  • He framed the measures as part of a culture of responsibility required to confront an existing fiscal crisis now exacerbated by global conflict. Colombian President Gustavo Petro took the lead in the region on Saturday, saying that subsidised gasoline prices “can no longer be sustained” and will start tracking international levels. In a strategic pivot, Petro said state oil company Ecopetrol’s profits would be directed to fund subsidised, Colombian-made fertilisers, effectively moving the state’s financial support from the pump to the farm.
  • Diesel subsidies will be restricted exclusively to cargo transport, he said. Across Latin America, the shifts signal that the era of state-funded fuel is ending to make room for fiscal survival as the Iran war has nearly closed off the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint through which 20% of the world’s oil typically flows. Oil prices have surged, with Brent crude rising 55% since hostilities began on February 28, 2026.

(Source: Bloomberg News)

 

Oil Falls and Shares Rebound After Trump Says Talks Have Been Held to End War Published: 24 March 2026

  • Oil prices plunged, and stock markets rebounded after President Donald Trump said the United States (U.S.) would hold off on strikes against Iranian power plants, citing "constructive" discussions about ending the conflict in the Middle East. The president wrote on social media that the two countries had held talks about a "COMPLETE AND TOTAL" resolution, but Iran denied these talks had happened. The price of Brent crude sank, while European and U.S. shares rose following Trump's statement.
  • Trump had previously said he would "obliterate" Iranian power plants if the Strait of Hormuz shipping route was not reopened in 48 hours. Iran had said it would respond by targeting key infrastructure in the region. The comments over the weekend had rattled financial markets, adding to fears that the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran would be a prolonged conflict.
  • At one point on Monday, March 23, 2026, the price of Brent had hit $113 a barrel, but it tumbled in the immediate aftermath of Trump's latest comments. Oil prices fell to a low of $96 a barrel before rebounding to $103. While oil fell, stocks rose. London's FTSE 100 index ended the day flat after being down more than 2% earlier on Monday. Germany's Dax index also rebounded to close 1.2% higher while France's Cac ended up roughly 0.9%. In the U.S., both the S&P 500 index and the Dow Jones were up more than 1% at midday.
  • Stocks in Asia, which closed before Trump's latest comments, had seen heavy falls with Japan's Nikkei index dropping 3.5% and South Korea's Kospi down 6.5%. Of note, Japan and South Korea have been particularly affected by the conflict, as they are heavily dependent on oil and gas that would normally pass through the Strait of Hormuz, which has been blocked since the start of the war

(Source: BBC)

Structural Challenges Set to Slow Canada’s Long-Term Growth Published: 24 March 2026

  • Given the structural challenges facing the Canadian economy, BMI anticipates that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will slow over the next decade to an average of 1.9% compared with 2.3% over 2010-2019. Easing trade uncertainty over the long term will support business investment and domestic demand, underpinned by shifts in government policy aimed at reducing the Canadian economy’s reliance on the United States (U.S.) market.
  • Infrastructure upgrades announced as part of Budget 2025 should help to facilitate greater internal and cross-border trade by making it easier to bring goods to market. These upgrades are likely to do more for external trade than Prime Minister Mark Carney’s efforts to sign trade agreements with a variety of alternative partners. In contrast, proposed changes to interprovincial trade regulations are a more meaningful potential tailwind for domestic activity, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimating that current barriers are the equivalent of a 9% national tariff, costing the Canadian economy C$210Bn per year, or around 7% of GDP.
  • Despite these positives, Canada faces several structural headwinds that dampen its longer-term growth outlook. Canada faces demographic challenges, as the proportion of people aged 65 and over rose from 12.6% in 2000 to 19.5% in 2025, with the dependency ratio increasing by 6.2 percentage points (pp) since 2000 to 52.7 in 2025. Furthermore, a more restrictive immigration policy is also contributing to a less favourable future demographic profile.
  • The government has moved to reduce immigration to 'sustainable levels' with non‑permanent residents falling from 7.6% of the population in October 2024 to 6.8% in October 2025, with new restrictive immigration targets for temporary residents, as outlined in Budget 2025. Canada's population fell in the fourth quarter of 2025 (Q4 2025) by 0.2%, the only recorded quarterly population decline since 1946 (excluding Q4 2020), largely due to these policy changes. Moreover, productivity growth continues to disappoint. Between Q1 2023 and Q4 2025, US quarterly labour productivity growth averaged 2.5% y-o-y, compared to Canada’s nearly flat productivity growth, which averaged 0.12% over the same period. 
  • That said, risks to the outlook are balanced. If the many economic policies being proposed and implemented by the current government result in a greater-than-expected boost in productivity, growth could exceed our expectations. Securing more favourable terms in current trade talks and in the 2026 United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) renegotiation would boost growth further. On the downside, if looser fiscal policy fuels higher inflation, monetary policy may need to turn more restrictive, creating a headwind to investment and longer‑term growth in 2026 and beyond. Furthermore, escalating global geopolitical tensions present downside risks to Canadian – and global – economic health.

(Source: BMI, A Fitch Solutions Company)

 

RAWILL Doubles Q3 Profits Despite a Surge in Direct Costs Published: 20 March 2026

  • R.A. Williams Distributors Limited (RAWILL) posted net profits of $33.51Mn for the third quarter ended January 31, 2026 (Q3 FY2026), more than doubling the $14.17Mn earned in the prior quarter.
  • Q3 revenues surged 23.2% to $541.94Mn compared to $438.90Mn in the corresponding quarter of the prior fiscal year. However, gross profits improved by just 5.4% to $215.12Mn owing to a 39.2% jump in direct costs.
  • Nonetheless, driven by a significant reduction in administrative and general expenses, operating profit rose 85.0% to $52.87Mn. Administrative and general expenses fell 13.9% to $98.68Mn, which management attributed to its active drive to improve cost control, an area it outlined in Q2 would be the core focus.
  • Despite the strong third quarter, it was insufficient to lift the company's 9-month figures. 9M net profit fell by 78.1% to $4.76Mn as revenue growth (+21.0%) was overrun by higher costs. Revenues grew 21.0% to $1,443.95Mn, but operating profit declined 25.9% to $60.61Mn. Higher, direct costs (+36.8%), operating expenses (+8.4%) and finance costs (+6.4%) all contributed to the weak nine-month performance and reinforce that cost containment will be critical to sustaining profit growth.
  • On the revenue front, management has indicated continued focus on deepening market penetration, expanding into new therapeutic and wellness categories, and strengthening engagement with healthcare professionals across Jamaica.
  • RA Williams is a pharmaceutical distributor and health solutions provider, distributing local and international pharmaceuticals to pharmacies and health institutions across Jamaica and the region. It was listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange’s Junior Market in August 2024. Its stock price has increased by 8.1% since the start of the year to close at $0.40 on Thursday, March 19, 2026.

(Sources: R.A. Williams Distribution Limited Financial Statements & NCBCM Research)

Tropical Battery Group Appointed Authorised Sellers of WEST Supercapacitor Technology Published: 20 March 2026

  • Tropical Battery Group has announced a landmark partnership with Wright Energy Storage Technologies (WEST), appointing Tropical Battery and its affiliate Kaya Energy as authorised resellers of WEST products across Jamaica and the Dominican Republic.
  • The deal introduces WEST's Optimised Supercapacitor technology to the Caribbean – a carbon-based electrostatic storage system that differs fundamentally from traditional lithium-ion batteries. Key selling points include a 45-year design life, a 20-year warranty, 97.1% round-trip efficiency, and no risk of thermal runaway or fire.
  • Tropical Battery CEO Alexander Melville said the technology is particularly suited to the Caribbean environment, noting that traditional battery chemistries often struggle with the region's high ambient temperatures and humidity. WEST modules are rated to operate from -40°C to +65°C without performance loss.
  • WEST CEO Larry (Chip) Seibert said Tropical Battery's "deep roots in the Caribbean and commitment to renewable energy" made them the ideal partner to deploy the technology across the two markets. WEST currently operates across more than 35 countries and is headquartered in Manhattan, New York.
  • The WEST partnership has the potential to meaningfully improve Tropical Battery's revenue. The 45-year design life and 20-year warranty of WEST modules position the company to pursue larger, longer-cycle commercial and industrial contracts that could help revenue growth.
  • Ultimately, the success of the partnership would depend on Tropical Battery's ability to find customers willing to buy WEST's supercapacitor technology. Tropical would need to convince customers to trust and adopt a new product, even if it outperforms the lithium-ion batteries they're already familiar with. Effectively promoting specs, like the 45-year design life and 20-year warranty, will play a key role in achieving this.
  • TROPICAL’s stock price has decreased by 13.2% since the start of the year to close at $1.38 on Thursday, March 19, 2026. At this current price, its P/E is 9.9x, below the Main Market Energy, Materials and Industrial average of 19.5x.

(Sources: JSE, Tropical Battery Group Ltd. & NCBCM Research)

Increased Oil Price, Production Accelerating Exxonmobil’s Cost Recovery in the Caribbean Published: 20 March 2026

  • The rising world oil price and increased production are allowing Exxon Mobil Guyana to fast-track the recovery of all of the remaining exploration, production and other costs in the Stabroek Block this year rather than next year, company President Alistair Routledge said
  • Currently, historic costs remain about US$5Bn out of an estimated US$40Bn cost bank. He said the current oil price of about US$100 per barrel would allow Exxon Mobil to “accelerate” cost bank recovery this year.
  • “What we’re now seeing in this price environment is that it will accelerate. Now, we don’t forecast oil prices, but if you stay at the current oil price, then it will happen this year, based on the level of expenditure and the production that we anticipate. So that’s a significant acceleration,” he told a news conference. According to the top company official, Guyana was currently producing more than 900,000 barrels per day. Mr Routledge said the company began wiping out the accumulated cost bank over the past two years due mainly to higher production. Originally, the company had anticipated recovering historic costs in 2027, largely because of increasing volumes of production that is bringing in higher revenues to offset the ongoing expenditures, plus recover historic costs.
  • The top Exxon Mobil official explained that the historic costs date back to 1999 when the contract with Guyana was signed and incurred. After the company began operations in 2019, he said revenue started coming in from 2020, “but at that point, we were still spending faster, and we were generating revenue.” Exxon Mobil says it is committed to spending up to US$60Bn in capital expenditure during the life of its operations in Guyana, apart from annual operating expenses amounting to billions of dollars.
  • The Exxon Mobil-Guyana government Production Sharing Agreement allows for up to 75 % of gross revenues to be used to recover costs.

(Source: Caribbean National Weekly)

Brazil Central Bank Makes Cautious 25-Bp Cut After Oil Shock Published: 20 March 2026

  • Brazil's central bank began a long-awaited easing cycle on Wednesday, March 18, 2026, with a cautious 25-basis-point cut, while holding off on explicit guidance for next steps, as an oil shock tied to the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran stoked global inflation fears. The bank's rate-setting committee, Copom, unanimously voted to lower the benchmark Selic rate to 14.75%, after five straight meetings holding it at 15%, the highest level since July 2006.
  • Policymakers had signalled in January 2026 that borrowing costs could start to fall this month, but doubts mounted as the Middle East conflict widened, which Copom cited throughout its decision statement. The central bank acknowledged that the international environment has grown more uncertain and stressed that risks to its inflation outlook have intensified.
  • Oil prices jumped above $100/bbl in recent sessions, roughly 60% more than the level assumed at the Brazilian central bank's January meeting. The shock prompted President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's government to announce tax cuts and a direct subsidy for diesel, a key input for Brazil's road-centric logistics, a day before state-run oil firm Petrobras raised the fuel's price. Surging oil prices also reshaped interest-rate pricing in recent days, prompting Brazil's Treasury to step in with extraordinary auctions.
  • Policymakers stressed in their decision statement the importance of "serenity and cautiousness in the conduction of monetary policy, so that future steps of interest rate calibration could incorporate new information about the depth and duration of the conflicts in the Middle East." The central bank also noted that the prolonged period of restrictive rates had shown it was slowing down the economy, "creating the conditions under which adjustments to the pace of this calibration, in light of new information, can be made." Brazil's real interest rate remains above 10%, among the highest in major economies.
  • Felipe Tavares, chief economist at BGC Liquidez, called the bank's communication dovish and forecast a 50-basis-point cut at the next meeting in April. He noted that the central bank opted to lower rates despite a sharp deterioration in inflation projections, even after incorporating a more favourable exchange-rate path. Policymakers raised their inflation forecast for this year to 3.9% from 3.4%.

(Source: Reuters)

Boe Policymakers Vote 9-0 To Keep Rates on Hold in Face of War Risks Published: 20 March 2026

  • The Bank of England's interest rate-setters all voted to keep borrowing ​costs on hold and said they were "ready to act" to see off risks from war in the Middle East, prompting investors to ramp up their bets on higher ‌borrowing costs later this year. The BoE's Monetary Policy Committee voted 9-0 to keep Bank Rate at 3.75%, the central bank said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had mostly expected a 7-2 vote to hold rates.
  • The MPC said inflation could go as high as 3.5% over the next two calendar quarters, according to BoE staff forecasts, and that it was alert to the risk of higher inflation expectations becoming embedded in the economy. It also nodded to the risks of an economic ​slowdown, which could weaken inflation pressures, but said the bigger risk was one of higher inflation, adding it "stands ready to act as necessary" to keep inflation on track for its 2% ​target.
  • Governor Andrew Bailey said petrol prices were already higher and household energy bills would go up later this year if the conflict lasts. Investors moved to price in two ​quarter-point rate hikes by the BoE this year. Yields on two-year British government bonds - which are sensitive to speculation about rates - leapt by a huge 34 basis points on the day, hitting the highest since ​January 2025 at 4.486%.
  • Some of the day's surge came earlier on news of more damage to gas infrastructure in Qatar. Bailey later said markets were getting ahead of themselves in assuming rate rises. Rob Wood, a former BoE economist who is chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said the surge in oil and especially natural ​gas prices on Thursday - which came after the MPC's vote on Wednesday - tilted the risks further towards rate hikes.
  • Luke Bartholomew, deputy chief economist of investment company Aberdeen, said the hurdle to a return to rate hikes was very high but "the economy could be facing a long wait until the next cut." Shortly after the ‌BoE announcement, the ⁠ECB left interest rates unchanged but signalled it was ready to act to counter risks to growth and from inflation.
  • On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and projected a single reduction in borrowing costs this year, although Chair Jerome Powell said uncertainty was high.
  • Some of the BoE's MPC members suggested interest rates might need to go up. Catherine Mann said she thought the BoE should consider a longer pause in rates "or even a hike at some point" to stop inflation from getting stuck too high.

(Source: Reuters)